Match Info

Championship - Round 12

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Iceland	11:30	Viaplay
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
Norway	13:30	Viaplay
Sweden	13:30	SVT 2, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Usa	07:30	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+


	Portsmouth		Millwall

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.25	2.85	Watch
	2.40	3.40	2.85
	2.47	3.3	2.86	Watch
	2.51	3.37	3.01
	2.53	3.39	2.77	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.95
	2.49	3.22	2.76	Watch
	2.41	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.51)	3.32 ↓ (3.42)	2.86 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
38.6%

Draw
28.5%

Millwall
33%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27.7%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	66.7%	25%

Portsmouth - Millwall Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Millwall will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Tie (3.40) (votes: 79%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 5. Poole R. 55. Dia M. 22. Swanson Z. 7. Pack M. (C) 37. Mohamed I. 11. Kamara A. 10. Segecic A. 25. Kavuma McQueen R. 29. Marezi	15. Crocombe M. (G) 4. Crama T. 6. Taylor C. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 14. Metcalfe J. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 10. Neghli C. 25. Cundle L. 22. Lisbie K. 13. Dykes L.
Substitutes
38. Adams E. 27. Bailey O. 31. Bielica D. (G) 32. Kenny E. 16. Meghoma J. 17. Shade T. 19. Shein R. R. 15. Umeh F. 20. Waddingham T.	12. Baggott E. 45. Doughty A. 11. Esse R. 41. Evans G. (G) 9. Ivanovic M. 16. Kelly D. 18. Leonard R. 2. Osei-Tutu J. 17. Sykes M.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Neil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Metcalfe J. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Dykes L. (Own goal),
24', Crama T. 🟨,
45', Cooper J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Segecic A. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
62', Kavuma McQueen R. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
68', Dykes L. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
68', Lisbie K. ↓, Esse R. ↑,
71', Marezi 🟨,
72', Marezi ↓, Waddingham T. ↑,
75', Crama T. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
76', Cundle L. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Waddingham T. ⚽,
87', Metcalfe J. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
90+4', Swanson Z. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13th and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Millwall could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Portsmouth: Arthur B. (Back Injury) Bishop C. (Inactive) Brooke-Smith L. (Ankle Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Knee Injury) Murphy J. (Groin Injury) Ogilvie C. (Knee Injury) Swift J. (Inactive) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury).

Confirmed absences for Millwall: Coburn J. (Muscle Injury) De Norre C. (Muscle Injury) Ivanovic M. (Hamstring Injury) Jensen L. (Muscle Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury) Servais M. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Portsmouth: Anderson K. (Overload) Shaughnessy C. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Millwall: Arconte T. (Ankle Injury).

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Portsmouth has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:9 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Portsmouth against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 3:4 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Portsmouth	12	5	3	4	16:15	1	18
13	Millwall	12	4	3	5	19:20	-1	15

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Millwall: 2.63% Portsmouth: 1.55%

Last Results with these Odds

Portsmouth - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.64%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Millwall - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
20.10.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
17.10.26	Norwich City - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
14.10.26	Portsmouth - Sheffield United	3:2 ✺
11.10.26	Southampton - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TWWLT
- Millwall
English League Championship
17.10.26	Millwall - Lincoln City	2:2 ✺
13.10.26	Millwall - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Preston North End - Millwall	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Millwall - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
15.09.26	Middlesbrough - Millwall	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
21.02.26	Millwall - Portsmouth	1:3
22.11.25	Portsmouth - Millwall	3:1
05.04.25	Millwall - Portsmouth	2:1
28.01.25	Portsmouth - Millwall	0:1
English League Cup
13.08.24	Portsmouth - Millwall	0:1
10.08.21	Millwall - Portsmouth	2:1
English League Championship
10.04.12	Portsmouth - Millwall	0:1

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