The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sheffield Wednesday 68.4%
Draw 20.2%
Cheltenham Town 11.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.7%
21.8%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.3%
21.2%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sheffield Wednesday's performance.
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cheltenham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sheffield Wednesday that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
0%
28.6%
Sheffield Wednesday - Cheltenham Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Sheff Wed will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Wed: 47.7% โ 95.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 14).
Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 1 (19.88%), has project points - 89, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (45%), has a chance of promoted (50%), has a chance of win league (20%).
Cheltenham has the most likely position - 16 (7.5%), has project points - 56, has currently - 14, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality25, importance39, match rating32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Sheff Wed is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cheltenham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Sheff Wed could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Cheltenham have a series of home games.
In this match Sheff Wed is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Sheff Wed won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Sheff Wed won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.