The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 23.2%
Draw 27.7%
Sheffield Wednesday 49.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
28.3%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
27.7%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Port Vale's form might have worsened.
Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sheffield Wednesday's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheffield Wednesday, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
7.1%
67.9%
Port Vale - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 7 - 25%). Sheff Wed will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Wed: 50.6% โ 85.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs)).
Port Vale has the most likely position - 21 (8.96%), has project points - 51, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 1 (28.13%), has project points - 90, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a good chance of promoted (57%), has a chance of win league (28%).
This event has small quality22, importance46, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Recently Sheff Wed have a series of home games.
Sheff Wed will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Watch
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