Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 44

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Hillsborough (Sheffield)

Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)


	Sheffield Wednesday		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	9
	1.38	4.6	8
	1.4	4.6	8.5
	1.38	4.84	9.45
	1.38	4.4	8.5
	1.39	4.65	8.1	Watch
	1.36	4.7	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)	4.65 ↑ (4.5)	8.54 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield Wednesday
68.6%

Draw
20.3%

Exeter City
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

20.6%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

19.6%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

Sheffield Wednesday - Exeter City Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sheff Wed will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Wed: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).

Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 3 (58.55%), project points - 93, currently - 87, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (77%), a chance of promoted (42%), a very small chance of win league (5%).

Exeter has the most likely position - 14 (28.26%), project points - 56, currently - 53, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 28, importance 39, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Sheff Wed is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Exeter has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sheff Wed is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sheff Wed won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield Wednesday
English League One
18.04.23	Bristol Rovers - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Burton Albion - Sheffield Wednesday	3:2 ✺
10.04.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Accrington Stanley	3:0 ✺
07.04.23	Oxford United - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWTT
- Exeter City
English League One
18.04.23	Exeter City - Derby County	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Exeter City - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
10.04.23	Peterborough United - Exeter City	3:1 ✺
07.04.23	Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Fleetwood Town - Exeter City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
10.12.22	Exeter City - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1
English FA Cup
09.01.21	Exeter City - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2
English League One
11.02.12	Exeter City - Sheffield Wednesday	N/A

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