The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterborough United 42.4%
Draw 26%
Exeter City 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.8%
26.8%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.2%
27%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Exeter City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Exeter City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
0%
22.2%
Peterborough United - Exeter City Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 50.6% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Exeter (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bass A. (G) 33. Dornelly J. 30. Kioso P. 26. Okagbue D. 2. Johnston C. (C) 4. Collins A. 42. Sykut P. 11. Frith D. 24. Morgan J. 17. Lisbie K. 27. Leonard H.
1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 4. Turns E. 20. Woodhouse L. 14. Niskanen I. 6. Brierley E. 34. Oakes L. 28. Tuterov T. 10. Aitchison J. 19. Cox S. 9. Wareham J.
Substitutes
39. Aderoju O. 18. Hayes C. 8. Khela B. 32. Mendonca L. 15. Nevett G. 22. O'Brien-Brady D. 31. Smith B. (G)
23. Bycroft J. (G) 45. Cummins C. 33. Dean T. 17. Higgins A. 27. Magennis J. 2. McMillan J. 3. Rydel R.
Coaches
Williams L.
Caldwell G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Cox S. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Sykut P. ⚽,
24', Sweeney P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Turns E. ↓, McMillan J. ↑,
46', Cox S. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Wareham J. ⚽, Niskanen I. (A),
52', 1 - 2, Wareham J. ⚽, Aitchison J. (A),
54', 1 - 3, Wareham J. ⚽, Niskanen I. (A),
56', Sykut P. ↓, Khela B. ↑,
59', Frith D. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
60', 2 - 3, Leonard H. ⚽, Hayes C. (A),
65', Wareham J. 🟨,
70', Tuterov T. ↓, Rydel R. ↑,
77', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
79', 3 - 3, Leonard H. ⚽,
88', Oakes L. ↓, Cummins C. ↑,
90+4', Aitchison J. 🟨,
90+6', Leonard H. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Peterborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Peterborough is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Garbett M.
(Inactive)
Lees T.
(Inactive)
Mendy J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Peterborough: Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Mills H.
(Inactive)
Woods B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Exeter: Fitzwater J.
(Inactive)
McMillan J.
(Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
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Bass A. (G) 
Kioso P. 
Okagbue D. 
Johnston C. (C) 
Sykut P. 
Turns E. 
Niskanen I. 
Aitchison J. 
Mendonca L. 
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