Match Info

Championship - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Hillsborough (Sheffield)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)


	Sheffield Wednesday		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.95
	3.37	3.37	2.18	Watch
	3.66	3.41	2.16
	6.72	4.38	1.46	Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.95
	3.27	3.4	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (3.75)	3.52 ↑ (3.42)	2 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield Wednesday
24.1%

Draw
27.5%

Stoke City
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

27.7%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield Wednesday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Sheffield Wednesday - Stoke City Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sheff Wed will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Stoke will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stoke City will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Charles P. (G) 7. Valery Y. 22. Otegbayo G. 6. Iorfa D. 3. Lowe M. 2. Palmer L. 4. Fusire S. 10. Bannan B. (C) 8. Ingelsson S. 18. Cadamarteri B. 9. Lowe J.	1. Johansson V. (G) 22. Tchamadeu J. 18. Lawal B. 16. Wilmot B. (C) 3. Cresswell A. 8. Baker L. 12. Seko T. 42. Manhoef M. 10. Bae J. 7. Thomas S. 9. Mubama D.
Substitutes
29. Brown G. 27. Johnson R. 19. Kobacki O. 17. McNeill C. 20. Shipston R. 25. Stretch L. (G) 37. Thornton J. 11. Weaver E. 30. Weaver E.	17. Bocat E. 13. Bonham J. (G) 11. Bozenik R. 14. Donley J. 56. Fawunmi F. 23. Gibson B. 57. Mears J. 26. Phillips A. 46. Smith W.
Coaches
Pedersen H.	Robins M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Manhoef M. ⚽, Bae J. (A),
13', Lawal B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 2, Mubama D. ⚽, Thomas S. (A),
65', Fusire S. ↓, McNeill C. ↑,
65', Lowe J. ↓, Ugbo I. ↑,
66', Otegbayo G. ↓, Kobacki O. ↑,
66', Seko T. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
67', Bae J. ↓, Donley J. ↑,
68', Johansson V. 🟨,
70', 0 - 3, Manhoef M. ⚽, Thomas S. (A),
71', Manhoef M. ↓, Bocat E. ↑,
85', Palmer L. ↓, Johnson R. ↑,
90', Mubama D. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
90+2', Lowe M. ↓, Weaver E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheff Wed won 2.

Stoke is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sheff Wed may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Stoke has had a series of home games.

Stoke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sheff Wed: Bannan B. (Red Card) Bernard D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sheff Wed: Emery J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Stoke: Pearson B. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sheff Wed won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sheff Wed won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Sheffield Wednesday - the odds 3.75 are the expected chance of winning is 25.3%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Stoke City - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.96%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield Wednesday
English League Cup
13.08.25	Bolton Wanderers - Sheffield Wednesday	3:4 penalties ✺
English League Championship
10.08.25	Leicester City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Watford - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Middlesbrough	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLTTW
- Stoke City
English League Cup
12.08.25	Stoke City - Walsall	1:0 penalties ✺
English League Championship
09.08.25	Stoke City - Derby County	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Stoke City - Burnley	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Stoke City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
23.07.25	Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
18.04.25	Stoke City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:0
21.12.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Stoke City	2:0
13.04.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Stoke City	1:1
09.12.23	Stoke City - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1
16.02.21	Stoke City - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0
28.11.20	Sheffield Wednesday - Stoke City	0:0
26.12.19	Stoke City - Sheffield Wednesday	3:2

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