Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: National Arena Toshe Proeski (Skopje)

Referee: Kapraly M. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 15
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 18
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 17
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Shkendija Tetovo		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.8
	4.25	3.7	1.82
	4.2	3.72	1.83
	3.72	3.32	2.05	Watch
	4.55	3.54	1.82
	3.75	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.14)	3.55 ↑ (3.33)	1.87 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Shkendija Tetovo
22.7%

Draw
26.7%

Jagiellonia Białystok
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28.1%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

27.4%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shkendija Tetovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shkendija Tetovo's form might have worsened.

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jagiellonia Białystok's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkendija Tetovo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shkendija Tetovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.8%	11.5%	84.6%

Shkendija Tetovo - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Shkendija will win (votes: 1 - 4%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 21 - 84%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 69.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Shkendija (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jagiellonia Białystok will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Shkendija (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Jagiellonia (votes: 8 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Gaye B. (G) 2. Trumci A. 15. Fetai I. 5. Cake K. (C) 11. Webster R. 4. Ramadani R. 6. Alhassan A. 49. Spahiu S. 17. Zejnullai A. 77. Latifi L. 29. Tamba F.	22. Piekutowski M. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 3. Stojinovic D. 13. Vital B. 27. Wdowik B. 31. Flach L. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 8. Drachal D. 80. Pietuszewski O. 10. Pululu A. 18. Prip L.
Substitutes
9. Ademi F. 22. Ajetovikj N. 3. Belica E. 7. Ibraimi B. 27. Kaba L. 10. Krasniqi E. 20. Mazari A. 26. Meliqi A. 16. Murati M. 28. Qaka K. 8. Ramadani F. 30. Ramani F. (G)	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 19. Cantero A. 66. Damasiewicz A. (G) 11. Imaz J. 25. Jackson A. 4. Kobayashi Y. 21. Lozano S. 86. Mazurek B. 5. Polak C. 7. Pozo A. 9. Rallis D. 17. Sylla Y.
Coaches
Bekjiri J.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Zejnullai A. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Latifi L. ⚽, Webster R. (A),
50', Alhassan A. 🟨,
54', Drachal D. ↓, Imaz J. ↑,
54', Prip L. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
54', Flach L. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
63', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
68', Latifi L. ↓, Ibraimi B. ↑,
68', Alhassan A. ↓, Qaka K. ↑,
74', Ibraimi B. 🟨,
76', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
76', Romanczuk T. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
86', Imaz J. 🟨,
86', Qaka K. 🟨,
89', Spahiu S. ↓, Murati M. ↑,
89', Tamba F. ↓, Mazari A. ↑,
90+6', Imaz J. 🟨,
90+10', 1 - 1, Lozano S. ⚽, Jackson A. (A),

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - National Arena Toshe Proeski.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Shkendija may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jagiellonia is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Abramowicz S. (Elbow Injury)

There are questionable in Shkendija: Krstevski V. (Calf Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Jagiellonia Białystok - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.13%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shkendija Tetovo
North Macedonian 1 MFL
31.10.25	AP Brera Strumica - Shkendija Tetovo	2:3 ✺
27.10.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Vardar	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Shelbourne	1:0 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
06.10.25	Pelister - Shkendija Tetovo	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Rayo Vallecano - Shkendija Tetovo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWTL
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.11.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
30.10.25	Miedź Legnica - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.10.25	Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Strasbourg - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLTW

Upcoming Matches