Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday


	Shonan Bellmare		Tokushima Vortis

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.75	Watch
	2.25	3	3.4
	2.2	3.05	3.4	Watch
	2.16	2.95	3.6
	2.25	3.01	3.99
	2.15	2.9	3.7
	2.22	3	3.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.13)	2.99 ↓ (3.3)	3.66 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shonan Bellmare
42.7%

Draw
31.5%

Tokushima Vortis
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

22.1%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shonan Bellmare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shonan Bellmare - Tokushima Vortis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Shonan Bellmare has the most likely position - 15 (64.57%), has project points - 39, has currently - 36, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Tokushima has the most likely position - 17 (72.89%), has project points - 35, has currently - 33, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Shonan Bellmare is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tokushima is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shonan Bellmare will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shonan Bellmare
Japan J1 League
20.11.21	Vegalta Sendai - Shonan Bellmare	0:2 ✺
07.11.21	Shonan Bellmare - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:0 ✺
03.11.21	Consadole Sapporo - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama FC	2:1 ✺
16.10.21	Sagan Tosu - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTTWT
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J1 League
20.11.21	Tokyo - Tokushima Vortis	0:2 ✺
06.11.21	Vissel Kobe - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
03.11.21	Tokushima Vortis - Cerezo Osaka	0:1 ✺
23.10.21	Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Yokohama FC - Tokushima Vortis	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
30.05.21	Tokushima Vortis - Shonan Bellmare	1:1
13.12.19	Shonan Bellmare - Tokushima Vortis	1:1
Japan J2 League
29.07.17	Shonan Bellmare - Tokushima Vortis	2:0
10.06.17	Tokushima Vortis - Shonan Bellmare	0:1
Japan Emperors Cup
22.09.16	Shonan Bellmare - Tokushima Vortis	4:0

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