Match Info

Date: 3 November 2021, Wednesday


	Tokushima Vortis		Cerezo Osaka

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.45
	2.8	3.35	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.15	2.43
	2.93	3.38	2.56
	2.88	3.1	2.45
	2.89	3.28	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.82)	3.26 ↓ (3.56)	2.46 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
32.9%

Draw
28.9%

Cerezo Osaka
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

26.8%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

20%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tokushima Vortis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerezo Osaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tokushima Vortis - Cerezo Osaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 12).

Tokushima has the most likely position - 17 (33.12%), has project points - 34, has currently - 30, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Cerezo Osaka has the most likely position - 12 (43.73%), has project points - 49, has currently - 42, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Recent matches Tokushima is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerezo Osaka is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerezo Osaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tokushima won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokushima won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J1 League
23.10.21	Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Yokohama FC - Tokushima Vortis	5:3 ✺
03.10.21	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	3:0 ✺
25.09.21	Vegalta Sendai - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
18.09.21	Tokushima Vortis - Kawasaki Frontale	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWWL
- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J League Cup
30.10.21	Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka	2:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
27.10.21	Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka	0:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
24.10.21	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
10.10.21	Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0 ✺
06.10.21	Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
14.04.21	Cerezo Osaka - Tokushima Vortis	1:2
Japan J2 League
25.09.16	Tokushima Vortis - Cerezo Osaka	0:1
19.06.16	Cerezo Osaka - Tokushima Vortis	3:2
27.09.15	Tokushima Vortis - Cerezo Osaka	1:1
21.06.15	Cerezo Osaka - Tokushima Vortis	1:0
Japan J1 League
22.10.14	Cerezo Osaka - Tokushima Vortis	3:1
08.03.14	Tokushima Vortis - Cerezo Osaka	0:2

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