Match Info

Date: 20 November 2021, Saturday


	Tokyo		Tokushima Vortis

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.7
	2.02	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.06	3.25	3.45
	2.14	3.54	3.6
	2.05	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.44	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.89)	3.37 ↓ (3.37)	3.56 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo
45.5%

Draw
28%

Tokushima Vortis
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

27.8%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

21.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tokyo - Tokushima Vortis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Tokyo has the most likely position - 9 (38.52%), has project points - 54, has currently - 49, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Tokushima has the most likely position - 17 (46.08%), has project points - 33, has currently - 30, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Recent matches Tokyo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tokushima is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tokyo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokyo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokyo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
06.11.21	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo	8:0 ✺
03.11.21	Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse	4:0 ✺
23.10.21	Tokyo - Kashima Antlers	1:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
10.10.21	Tokyo - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ✺
06.10.21	Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWL
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J1 League
06.11.21	Vissel Kobe - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
03.11.21	Tokushima Vortis - Cerezo Osaka	0:1 ✺
23.10.21	Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Yokohama FC - Tokushima Vortis	5:3 ✺
03.10.21	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
23.06.21	Tokushima Vortis - Tokyo	0:1
Japan J League Cup
28.04.21	Tokushima Vortis - Tokyo	1:1
03.03.21	Tokyo - Tokushima Vortis	1:0
Japan J1 League
23.09.14	Tokyo - Tokushima Vortis	4:0
10.05.14	Tokushima Vortis - Tokyo	0:0

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