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Current Win Probability
Shrewsbury Town 27.7%
Draw 29.2%
Mansfield Town 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.6%
27.6%
44.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
27.1%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
22.2%
44.4%
Shrewsbury Town - Mansfield Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Mansfield will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Blackman J. (G) 6. Feeney J. 22. Nsiala A. 16. Pierre A. 2. Hoole L. 15. Gape D. 14. Perry T. 3. Benning M. 17. Gilliead A. 9. Lloyd G. 27. Marquis J. (C)
1. Pym C. (G) 9. Bowery J. 14. Flint A. (C) 6. Cargill B. 7. Akins L. 44. Boateng H. 10. Maris G. 17. Baccus K. 3. McLaughlin S. 11. Evans W. 19. Gregory L.
Substitutes
8. Biggins H. 18. Dinanga R. 23. Nurse G. 12. Ojo F. 1. Savin T. (G) 26. Shipley J. 24. Stewart C.
13. Flinders S. (G) 4. Hewitt E. 5. Kilgour A. 8. Lewis A. 12. MacDonald C. 16. Quinn S. 21. Waine B.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.
Clough N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Evans W. ⚽, Maris G. (A),
34', Nsiala A. 🟥,
37', Pierre A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Marquis J. ⚽, Feeney J. (A),
57', Maris G. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
57', Baccus K. ↓, Quinn S. ↑,
59', Cargill B. 🟨,
63', 2 - 1, Lloyd G. ⚽, Gilliead A. (A),
75', Gape D. ↓, Ojo F. ↑,
75', Cargill B. ↓, Kilgour A. ↑,
82', Gilliead A. ↓, Biggins H. ↑,
84', Boateng H. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
85', McLaughlin S. ↓, MacDonald C. ↑,
90+3', Marquis J. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 12).
Both teams are in bad shape now.
Mansfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Shrewsbury have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).