The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mansfield Town 62.6%
Draw 21.3%
Crawley Town 16%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.8%
22.8%
17.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
15.9%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-21%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crawley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Mansfield Town - Crawley Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 25.5% – 74.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pym C. (G) 9. Bowery J. 23. Oshilaja A. 6. Cargill B. 4. Hewitt E. 8. Lewis A. 25. Reed L. (C) 16. Quinn S. 3. McLaughlin S. 11. Evans W. 19. Gregory L.
16. Cox M. (G) 5. Barker C. 3. Conroy D. (C) 30. Radcliffe B. 7. Forster H. 23. Ibrahim B. 6. Anderson M. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 12. Camara P. 9. Swan W. 45. John-Jules T.
Substitutes
7. Akins L. 44. Boateng H. 13. Flinders S. (G) 14. Flint A. 5. Kilgour A. 10. Maris G. 21. Waine B.
22. Adeyemo A. 26. Doyle K. 8. Holohan G. 11. Roles J. 21. Sheik J. (G) 29. Showunmi T. 17. Tanimu B.
Coaches
Clough N.
Elliot R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Oshilaja A. ↓, Akins L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Barker C. 🟨,
65', Gregory L. ↓, Boateng H. ↑,
65', Quinn S. ↓, Maris G. ↑,
76', Forster H. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
77', Cargill B. 🟨,
80', John-Jules T. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
81', Camara P. ↓, Doyle K. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Adeyemo A. ⚽,
84', Evans W. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
84', Lewis A. ↓, Flint A. ↑,
90', Anderson M. ↓, Tanimu B. ↑,
90', Swan W. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
90+5', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 3.
Recent matches Mansfield is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Crawley is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Crawley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Crawley have a series of guest games.
In this match Mansfield is a favorite.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31:21 (average 1.7:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:10 (average 2.4:1.3).