The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shrewsbury Town 21.7%
Draw 26.6%
Plymouth Argyle 51.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
27.8%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
26.7%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shrewsbury Town's form might have worsened.
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Argyle's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shrewsbury Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
4.2%
0%
95.8%
Shrewsbury Town - Plymouth Argyle Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Plymouth will win (votes: 23 - 95.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 87.8% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Shrewsbury has the most likely position - 10 (23.95%), project points - 62, currently - 56, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
Plymouth has the most likely position - 1 (45.36%), project points - 96, currently - 86, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), a good chance of promoted (83%), a chance of win league (45%).
This event has small quality25, importance50, match rating37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 1.
Shrewsbury has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Plymouth is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Plymouth have a series of guest games.
In this match Plymouth is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.
Watch
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