Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 22

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Shrewsbury Town		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.67
	4.8	3.6	1.7
	5	3.6	1.7	Watch
	5.59	3.63	1.72
	5.59	3.63	1.72
	4.5	3.5	1.73
	4.95	3.68	1.7	Watch
	4.8	3.55	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (4.45)	3.6 ↑ (3.2)	1.71 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
18.6%

Draw
26.2%

Portsmouth
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

29.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

30.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portsmouth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Shrewsbury Town - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marosi M. (G) 22. Dunkley C. (C) 16. Pierre A. 4. Anderson J. 5. Feeney M. 7. Winchester C. 42. Kenneh N. 26. Shipley J. 14. Perry T. 11. Udoh D. 9. Bowman R.	1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 20. Raggett S. 18. Shaughnessy C. 21. Sparkes J. 16. Morrell J. 7. Pack M. (C) 25. Kamara A. 8. Robertson A. 32. Lane P. 19. Yengi K.
Substitutes
3. Benning M. 13. Burgoyne H. (G) 43. Loughran J. 27. Mata M. 34. Owusu Gyimah N. 15. Sobowale T. 45. Whitney L.	9. Bishop C. 24. Devlin T. 15. Saydee C. 31. Schofield R. (G) 2. Swanson Z. 4. Towler R. 11. Whyte G.
Coaches
Taylor M.	Mousinho J.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 0.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Portsmouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shrewsbury have a series of guest games.

In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
09.12.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Shrewsbury Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.12.23	Notts County - Shrewsbury Town	2:3 ✺
English League One
28.11.23	Exeter City - Shrewsbury Town	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Shrewsbury Town - Port Vale	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Blackpool - Shrewsbury Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWTWL
- Portsmouth FC
English League One
11.12.23	Portsmouth - Bolton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Northampton Town - Portsmouth	0:3 ✺
28.11.23	Burton Albion - Portsmouth	0:2 ✺
25.11.23	Portsmouth - Blackpool	0:4 ✺
11.11.23	Portsmouth - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
15.04.23	Shrewsbury Town - Portsmouth	1:1
29.10.22	Portsmouth - Shrewsbury Town	1:1
22.02.22	Shrewsbury Town - Portsmouth	1:2
17.08.21	Portsmouth - Shrewsbury Town	1:0
27.03.21	Shrewsbury Town - Portsmouth	1:2
12.09.20	Portsmouth - Shrewsbury Town	0:0
15.02.20	Portsmouth - Shrewsbury Town	2:0

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