Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Toner B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+


	Barnsley		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.2
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.2	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.21	3.3	3.24	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.2
	2.22	3.42	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.29)	3.36 ↓ (3.41)	3.2 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

Watch this match and English League One with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
42.6%

Draw
28%

Wrexham
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

27.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Barnsley - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Barnsley will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Wrexham will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Killip B. (G) 6. de Gevigney M. 32. Earl J. 21. McCarthy C. 7. O'Keeffe C. 8. Phillips A. 48. Connell L. (C) 3. Russell J. 2. Cotter B. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 36. Watters M.	21. Howard M. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 6. O'Connor T. 29. Barnett R. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 7. McClean J. (C) 9. Palmer O. 10. Mullin P.
Substitutes
9. Cosgrove S. 17. Gent G. 44. Humphrys S. 50. Nwakali K. 5. Pines D. 12. Smith J. (G) 45. Yoganathan V.	28. Bodvarsson J. 8. Cannon A. 26. Fletcher S. 19. Mendy J. 1. Okonkwo A. (G) 23. Revan S. 24. Scarr D.
Coaches
Clarke D.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Keillor-Dunn D. ⚽, Phillips A. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Phillips A. ⚽, Watters M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Palmer O. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
52', Earl J. ↓, Pines D. ↑,
52', Watters M. ↓, Humphrys S. ↑,
72', Dobson G. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Cleworth M. ⚽,
82', McCarthy C. 🟨,
85', Keillor-Dunn D. ↓, Cosgrove S. ↑,
87', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
90', O'Connell E. ↓, Bodvarsson J. ↑,
90+4', Cotter B. ↓, Gent G. ↑,
90+5', Killip B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Recent matches Barnsley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wrexham is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Wrexham have a series of home games.

Barnsley will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Last Results with these Odds

Barnsley - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.95%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
29.12.24	Peterborough United - Barnsley	1:3 ✺
26.12.24	Bolton Wanderers - Barnsley	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Barnsley - Leyton Orient	0:4 ✺
14.12.24	Exeter City - Barnsley	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Barnsley - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLWL
- Wrexham AFC
English League One
29.12.24	Wrexham - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Wrexham - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Bristol Rovers - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Wrexham - Cambridge United	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Wrexham - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
03.12.24	Wrexham - Barnsley	1:0

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