The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sochaux 15.1%
Draw 20.9%
Metz 64%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.6%
26.7%
50.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.2%
26.2%
51.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sochaux's form might have worsened.
Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sochaux, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.9%
15.4%
57.7%
Sochaux - Metz Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Sochaux will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Metz will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 38.7% – 76.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Prevot M. (G) 28. Faussurier J. 19. Meddah D. 5. Agouzoul S. 18. Armougom Y. 80. Alvero S. 77. Kanoute F. 6. Perreira de Sa R. 24. Dossou J. 9. Sissoko I. 15. Kalulu A. (C)
16. Oukidja A. (G) 39. Kouao K. 8. Traore I. 5. Cande F. 3. Udol M. (C) 6. N'Doram K. 27. Danley J. J. 36. Jallow A. 10. Maziz Y. 14. Sabaly C. 9. Mikautadze G.
Substitutes
35. Daho A. 33. Galves N. 36. Grillot E. 30. Jeannin M. (G) 37. Lecolier M. 34. Makosso C. 21. Mayenda E.
40. Ba O. (G) 18. Camara L. 35. Douane M. 24. Joseph L. 15. Lo A. M. 19. Maiga H. 26. Mbaye M.
Coaches
Frau P.
Boloni L.
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 3).
Sochaux has the most likely position - 6 (33.55%), project points - 55, currently - 52, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
Metz has the most likely position - 3 (82.56%), project points - 70, currently - 66, not chance of relegated, a chance of promoted (26%), a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has quality43, importance45, match rating44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 0.
Sochaux has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Metz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Metz is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Metz to win the game is with odds 1.53.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Sochaux won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
Croatia
France
Watch
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Prevot M. (G) 
Agouzoul S. 
Kanoute F. 
Dossou J. 
Sissoko I. 
Kalulu A. (C) 
Oukidja A. (G) 
Kouao K. 
Traore I. 
Cande F. 
Danley J. J. 
Jallow A. 
Mikautadze G. 
Makosso C. 
Mayenda E. 
Boloni L. 
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