Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Relegation - Play Offs - Final

Date: 30 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Sports France 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Turkey	beIN Sports 4
World	MEGOGO Futbol+


	Saint-Étienne		Metz

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.9	Watch
	2	3.2	3.9
	2	3.4	4	Watch
	2.02	3.46	4.12
	1.99	3.46	4.12
	1.95	3.4	3.9
	2.08	3.47	4.06
	2.05	3.3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.17)	3.37 ↑ (3.34)	3.99 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
47.6%

Draw
28.4%

Metz
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.7%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	9.7%	6.5%

Saint Étienne - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (52 of 62 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.71% – 93.03%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (C) 27. Macon Y. 21. Batubinsika D. 3. Nade M. 19. Petrot L. 5. Tardieu F. 11. Cardona I. 29. Moueffek A. 14. Chambost D. 18. Cafaro M. 9. Sissoko I.	16. Oukidja A. (G) 2. Colin M. 8. Traore I. 38. Sane S. 3. Udol M. (C) 27. Jean Jacques D. 6. N'Doram K. 18. Camara L. 14. Sabaly C. 10. Mikautadze G. 7. Diallo P.
Substitutes
8. Appiah D. 13. Bentayg M. 6. Bouchouari B. 23. Briancon A. 26. Fomba L. 42. Green E. (G) 10. Mbuku N. 7. Monconduit T. 20. Rivera M.	25. Atta A. 5. Cande F. 1. Dietsch G. (G) 29. Herelle C. 39. Kouao K. 11. Lamkel Ze D. 34. Nduquidi J. 37. Sane I. 22. Van Den Kerkhof K.
Coaches
Dall'Oglio O.	Boloni L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Sissoko I. ⚽, Cafaro M. (A),
34', Macon Y. 🟨,
42', Sabaly C. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
45', 1 - 1, Traore I. ⚽, Camara L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', N'Doram K. 🟨,
73', Macon Y. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
73', Diallo P. ↓, Lamkel Ze D. ↑,
80', Moueffek A. ↓, Fomba L. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Cardona I. ⚽, Cafaro M. (A),
85', Cafaro M. ↓, Bentayg M. ↑,
86', Cardona I. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
89', Sissoko I. 🟨,
90', Camara L. ↓, Atta A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 2.

Recent matches Saint-Étienne is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Metz is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Saint-Étienne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Saint-Étienne will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Diarra S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Metz: Asoro J. (Injury) Tetteh B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Wadji I. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Metz: Jallow A. (Knee Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1
24.05.24	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
17.05.24	Quevilly - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
10.05.24	Saint-Étienne - Rodez	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Guingamp - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
27.04.24	Saint-Étienne - Caen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTTW
- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
19.05.24	Metz - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
12.05.24	Strasbourg - Metz	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Metz - Rennes	2:3 ✺
28.04.24	Metz - Lille	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Le Havre - Metz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
22.04.23	Saint-Étienne - Metz	1:3
07.11.22	Metz - Saint-Étienne	3:2
French Ligue 1
06.03.22	Saint-Étienne - Metz	1:0
30.10.21	Metz - Saint-Étienne	1:1
07.02.21	Saint-Étienne - Metz	1:0
25.10.20	Metz - Saint-Étienne	2:0
02.02.20	Metz - Saint-Étienne	3:1

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