Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 26

Date: 29 April 2024, Monday

Location: Fisht Olympic Stadium (Sochi)

Referee: Shafeev R. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Sochi		Fakel

	1	X	2
	2.09	3.25	4.09
	2.03	3.27	4.14
	2.04	3.43	4.26	Watch
	1.97	3.3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2.02)	3.31 ↓ (3.51)	4.07 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sochi
47.3%

Draw
29%

Fakel
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27.3%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

28.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Sochi - Fakel Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Fakel will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rudakov M. (G) 27. Zaika K. 3. Drkusic V. 33. Marcelo Alves 17. Makarchuk A. 14. Kravtsov K. 21. Saavedra I. 19. Sutormin A. 23. Guarirapa S. 10. Cordova S. 77. Jukic A.	31. Belenov A. (G) 2. Cherov V. 72. Senhadji R. 22. Yurganov I. 47. Bozhin S. 13. Kalinin I. 7. Akbashev R. 33. Kvekveskiri I. 23. Yakimov V. 11. Motpan N. 14. Appaev K.
Substitutes
5. Angban V. 25. Attiyat Allah Y. 18. Burmistrov N. 2. Chistyakov D. 35. Degtev A. (G) 7. Kramaric M. 34. Margasov T. 71. Medvedev Y. 24. Miguel 6. Yusupov A. 12. Zabolotnyi N. (G)	10. Alshin I. 8. Bagamaev A. 77. Bagatelia L. 92. Bryzgalov S. 5. Cele T. 1. Gudiev V. (G) 64. Ivlev A. 28. Magal R. 9. Maksimov M. 88. Masternoy V. 15. Suslov K.
Coaches
Moreno R.	Cherevchenko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Zaika K. 🟨,
14', Yakimov V. 🟨,
18', Cordova S. 🟨,
22', Drkusic V. ↓, Chistyakov D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Yurganov I. 🟨,
58', Motpan N. ↓, Magal R. ↑,
61', Cherov V. ↓, Masternoy V. ↑,
73', Makarchuk A. ↓, Burmistrov N. ↑,
73', Sutormin A. ↓, Yusupov A. ↑,
73', Saavedra I. ↓, Attiyat Allah Y. ↑,
87', Jukic A. ↓, Miguel ↑,
88', Guarirapa S. 🟨,
89', Belenov A. 🟨,
90', Appaev K. ↓, Maksimov M. ↑,
90', Kalinin I. ↓, Suslov K. ↑,
90+1', Senhadji R. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sochi won 2.

Recent matches Sochi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fakel has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sochi is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sochi won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Sochi won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochi
Russian Premier League
25.04.24	Akhmat Grozny - Sochi	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Sochi - Ural	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Rostov - Sochi	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Sochi - CSKA Moscow	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWTT
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian Premier League
25.04.24	Fakel - Krylya Sovetov	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	Krasnodar - Fakel	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Fakel - Rostov	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	CSKA Moscow - Fakel	4:1 ✺
31.03.24	Fakel - Orenburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.02.24	Fakel - Sochi	0:0
Russian Cup
01.11.23	Sochi - Fakel	2:0
Russian Premier League
01.10.23	Fakel - Sochi	2:0
Russian Cup
26.07.23	Fakel - Sochi	1:3
Russian Premier League
18.03.23	Fakel - Sochi	3:0
Club Friendly
18.02.23	Sochi - Fakel	4:2
Russian Premier League
18.09.22	Sochi - Fakel	1:1

Upcoming Matches