Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Antonio Romero (Formosa)


	Sol de América de Formosa		Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4.1
	1.58	3.4	5.35
	1.52	3.56	5.87
	1.67	3.29	5.77	Watch
	1.68	3.54	5.2
	1.8	3.25	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.89)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	5.09 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sol de América de Formosa
54.8%

Draw
27.2%

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

23.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sol de América de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sol de América de Formosa's performance.

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de América de Formosa than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sol de América de Formosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sol de América de Formosa - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Sol de América (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sol de América (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sol de América de Formosa will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sol de América de Formosa will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sol de América (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Sol de América has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Def Belgrano VR is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Sol de América is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sol de América won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sol de América de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.08.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	0:1 ✺
26.07.25	Crucero del Norte - Sol de América de Formosa	2:3 ✺
20.07.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:1 ✺
13.07.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Sol de América de Formosa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLTT
- Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.08.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Boca Unidos	0:2 ✺
28.07.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Ben Hur	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	El Linqueño - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.07.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0

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