Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 28

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday


	South Shields		United of Manchester

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.1
	1.45	4.1	4.7
	1.71	3.65	4
	1.49	4.45	5.54
	1.5	4.33	4.33
	1.46	4.15	6.25
	1.47	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.73)	4.07 ↑ (3.63)	4.92 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Shields
59.2%

Draw
22.4%

United of Manchester
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

24.9%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

24.3%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Shields's performance.

United of Manchester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Shields that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

South Shields - United of Manchester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches South Shields won 3.

South Shields is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches United of Manchester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently United of Manchester have a series of home games.

In this match South Shields is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches South Shields won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams South Shields won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Shields FC
English NPL Premier Division
11.03.23	Stalybridge Celtic - South Shields	3:3 ✺
07.03.23	Matlock Town - South Shields	0:0 ✺
04.03.23	Marske United - South Shields	0:4 ✺
25.02.23	Belper Town - South Shields	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	South Shields - Matlock Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTWWT
- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
11.03.23	Atherton Collieries - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	United of Manchester - Liversedge	2:3 ✺
25.02.23	Warrington Rylands - United of Manchester	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	United of Manchester - Stalybridge Celtic	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Lancaster City - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
04.10.22	United of Manchester - South Shields	2:1
16.04.22	United of Manchester - South Shields	0:1
24.08.21	South Shields - United of Manchester	1:1
27.10.20	South Shields - United of Manchester	1:0
14.03.20	South Shields - United of Manchester	5:3
01.10.19	United of Manchester - South Shields	0:2

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