Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Roots Hall (Southend on Sea)


	Southend United		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	5.75
	1.47	4	5.25
	1.5	4.2	6
	1.52	4.4	6.13
	1.5	4.2	5.5
	1.49	4.2	5.8
	1.49	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	4.17 ↑ (3.94)	5.69 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southend United
61.8%

Draw
22%

Oxford City
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23.3%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

22.6%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Southend United - Oxford City Predictions

Users Predictions: Southend United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Martin D. (G) 7. Bridge J. 9. Cardwell H. 28. Coker O. 24. Demetriou J. 8. Husin N. 6. Kensdale O. 17. Miley C. (C) 2. Scott-Morriss G. 16. Taylor H. 14. Wood J.	1. Haigh Ch. (G) 2. Burley A. 19. Carroll C. 7. Coyle L. 8. Fleet R. (C) 5. Kirby N. 10. McEachran Z. 22. Moore T. 14. Parker J. 9. Sanderson O. 15. Smith R.
Substitutes
18. Fonguck W. 22. Kabongolo B. 10. Mooney D. 20. Vilhete M.	17. Fonkeu P. 16. Potter A. 18. William-Bushell A. 21. Wilson J.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 20).

Recent matches Southend is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oxford City is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Southend is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English National League
30.09.23	Rochdale - Southend United	2:2 ✺
26.09.23	Aldershot Town - Southend United	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Southend United - Fylde	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Southend United - Maidenhead United	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	York City - Southend United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLWL
- Oxford City
English National League
30.09.23	Oxford City - Altrincham	1:2 ✺
26.09.23	Oxford City - Gateshead	0:4 ✺
23.09.23	Oldham Athletic - Oxford City	4:0 ✺
19.09.23	Eastleigh - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Oxford City - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLTT

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