Match Info

Date: 10 December 2020, Thursday


	Sparta Prague		Milan

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.45
	6	4.75	1.48
	6.15	4.5	1.5
	6	4.5	1.46
	6.39	4.65	1.5
	6.5	4.33	1.47
	6.75	4.65	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.4 ↑ (5.35)	4.55 ↑ (4.26)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
14.9%

Draw
20.9%

Milan
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

22.2%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

18.7%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Sparta Prague aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.6%	11.6%	62.8%

Sparta Prague - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 129 users predict this event. Sparta Prague will win (votes: 33 - 25.6%). Milan will win (votes: 81 - 62.8%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 11.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 54.5% – 71.1%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Sparta Prague has not chance of round of 32, has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league.

Milan was already of round of 32, has a good chance of round of 16 (63%), has a chance of qtrs (39%), has a chance of semis (23%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Recent matches Sparta Prague is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Milan in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Milan is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sparta Prague won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
06.12.20	Sparta Prague - Slavia Prague	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.12.20	Lille - Sparta Prague	2:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
29.11.20	Teplice - Sparta Prague	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Sparta Prague - Celtic	4:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
22.11.20	Sparta Prague - Dynamo České Budějovice	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
06.12.20	Sampdoria - Milan	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.12.20	Milan - Celtic	4:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.20	Milan - Fiorentina	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Lille - Milan	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.11.20	Napoli - Milan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
29.10.20	Milan - Sparta Prague	3:0

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