Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 21

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam) 🌤️ ...

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Canada	15:00	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	SportKlub 8
Germany	21:00	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 2
India	01:30	Eurosport, JioTV app
Mexico	14:00	Disney+
Netherlands	21:00	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Russia	23:00	TV Start
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Arena sport 1, Sport TV2
Switzerland	21:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	23:00	Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
International	20:00	Triller TV+


	Sparta Rotterdam		Groningen

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.7	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.6
	2.42	3.45	2.85
	2.49	3.46	2.92
	2.33	3.58	2.91	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.4	3.69	2.91	Watch
	2.45	3.33	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.74)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)	2.8 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Rotterdam
39%

Draw
27.2%

Groningen
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.8%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

30.3%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sparta Rotterdam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Groningen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	23.1%	7.7%

Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Groningen will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Sparta Rotterdam (2.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Sparta Rotterdam (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sparta Rotterdam will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Drommel J. (G) 2. Martes L. 3. Young M. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 5. Quintero T. 8. Kitolano J. 6. Clement P. 7. van Bergen M. 10. Santos A. 11. Mito S. 9. Lauritsen T.	1. Vaessen E. (G) 5. Rente M. (C) 3. Blokzijl T. 4. Janse D. 43. Peersman M. 18. Land T. 14. Schreuders J. 10. Taha Y. 26. van Bergen T. 17. van der Werff D. 9. Willumsson B.
Substitutes
16. Baas J. 17. Bakari S. 20. Bednarek F. (G) 13. de Guzman J. 15. Kleijn M. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 22. Ltaief S. 21. Roaldsoy A. 12. Sambo S. 19. Thorisson N. 18. Toornstra J. 14. Velthuis T.	57. Eggens N. 11. Emeran N. 7. Hernes T. 69. Hoekstra M. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 27. Mendes R. 16. Mercera T. 34. Metu R. 2. Prins W. 13. Stubljar L. (G) 15. van der Laan E. 19. Zawada O.
Coaches
Steijn M.	Lukkien D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Martins Indi B. 🟨,
43', Janse D. 🟨,
45+1', Peersman M. 🟨,
45+1', Rente M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Mito S. ⚽, Santos A. (A),
64', Willumsson B. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
64', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
64', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
81', Santos A. ↓, Roaldsoy A. ↑,
81', Clement P. ↓, Baas J. ↑,
83', Martes L. ↓, Sambo S. ↑,
87', van der Werff D. ↓, Eggens N. ↑,
87', Land T. ↓, Hoekstra M. ↑,
88', van Bergen M. ↓, Kleijn M. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Mito S. ⚽, Kleijn M. (A),
90+5', Taha Y. 🟨,
90+6', Hoekstra M. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 4.

Sparta Rotterdam is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Groningen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: van Crooij V. (Injury)

There will not play in Groningen: Kelder R. (Inactive) Resink S. (Yellow Cards) Seuntjens M. (Inactive) de Jonge T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Groningen: Resink S. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Groningen	10	4	3	3	24:21	3	15
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	3	5	17:24	-7	9

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Groningen: 0.21% Sparta Rotterdam: 0.14%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
25.01.26	Utrecht - Sparta Rotterdam	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Feyenoord - Sparta Rotterdam	3:4 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
15.01.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Volendam	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Volendam - Sparta Rotterdam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.9 WWLWW
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie
25.01.26	Groningen - Fortuna Sittard	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Heerenveen - Groningen	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Groningen - NAC Breda	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Groningen - Bodø Glimt	0:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
21.12.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Groningen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	5:2
Dutch Eredivisie
19.10.25	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	0:2
02.02.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	1:0
09.11.24	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	1:0
28.05.23	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	0:5
17.09.22	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	2:1
07.05.22	Groningen - Sparta Rotterdam	1:2

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