Match Info

FNL - Round 14

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Urozhay (Karavaevo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sagdiev A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	16:30	Sport TV


	Spartak Kostroma		Leningradets

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.71	7.46
	1.40	4.65	7.35
	1.40	4.88	7.95	Watch
	1.39	4.20	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.54)	4.61 ↑ (4.18)	7.24 ↑ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Kostroma
66.8%

Draw
20.3%

Leningradets
12.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.5%

22.7%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

22.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Kostroma's performance.

Leningradets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Spartak Kostroma - Leningradets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Shamov E. (G) 5. Zhilmostnykh D. 21. Bugarin M. 2. Tarasov N. 7. Malyarov K. 73. Kirakosyan D. 17. Kaptilovich D. 6. Mohammadi N. 11. Gurtskaia D. 87. Spahic A. 90. Kalmykov A.	96. Kuznetsov A. (G) 10. Zarypbekov E. 44. Kalugin N. 4. Kudryavtsev R. 5. Morozov K. 21. Makarov A. 6. Rodin D. 78. Kiselev G. 32. Kulishev A. 11. Yakovlev D. 7. Nikitin D.
Substitutes
3. Bugriev S. 70. Chervyakov R. 69. Chursin K. 8. Demchenko N. 68. Gaydash M. (G) 10. Karaev D. 96. Mokhammad A. 22. Nemchenko A. 82. Nikiforenko O. 66. Nikiforov M.	77. Bachinskiy M. 37. Isaev K. 14. Kenfak O. 19. Maksetsov A. 2. Nikolaev S. 52. Petukhov I. 1. Smirnov J.
Coaches
Ashikhmin A.	Podpaliy S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Kalmykov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', Kirakosyan D. ↓, Chervyakov R. ↑,
68', Gurtskaia D. ↓, Demchenko N. ↑,
69', Yakovlev D. ↓, Bachinskiy M. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Zhilmostnykh D. ⚽,
77', Spahic A. ↓, Karaev D. ↑,
78', Kulishev A. ↓, Kenfak O. ↑,
82', Kiselev G. ↓, Nikolaev S. ↑,
90', Kalmykov A. ↓, Mokhammad A. ↑,
90', Bugarin M. ↓, Rubtsov I. ↑,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th and 14th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Leningradets may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Spartak Kostroma as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Kostroma has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:8 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Spartak Kostroma against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:3 goals (averaging 0:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	S. Kostroma	15	8	3	4	21:15	6	27
14	Leningradets	15	3	5	7	12:26	-14	14

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

S. Kostroma: 3.98% Leningradets: 0.8%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Kostroma
Russian Cup
13.10.26	Spartak Kostroma - Chelyabinsk	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
09.10.26	Arsenal Tula - Spartak Kostroma	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	Spartak Kostroma - Ural	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
14.09.26	Spartak Kostroma - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWW
- FK Leningradets
Russian Cup
14.10.26	Leningradets - Luki-Energiya	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL
10.10.26	Leningradets - Torpedo Moscow	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Leningradets	6:0 ✺
13.09.26	Leningradets - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
14.06.25	Spartak Kostroma - Leningradets	0:1
21.09.24	Leningradets - Spartak Kostroma	2:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
04.06.23	Leningradets - Spartak Kostroma	3:0
05.05.23	Spartak Kostroma - Leningradets	0:2

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