Match Info

FNL - Round 18

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday

Location: Fakel Stadium (Voronezh)

Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)


	Fakel		Spartak Kostroma

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.1	4.01
	2.11	3.09	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.96)	3.1 ↓ (3.16)	4.01 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fakel
45.3%

Draw
30.9%

Spartak Kostroma
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

30%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

30.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Spartak Kostroma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Fakel - Spartak Kostroma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Spartak Kostroma (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Kostroma (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frolkin D. (G) 2. Cherov V. 27. Magkeev S. 20. Yurganov I. 99. Giorgobiani N. 23. Yakimov V. 10. Alshin I. 8. Bagamaev A. 52. Netfullin R. (C) 93. Uridia M. 19. Pusi B.	86. Korets N. (G) 2. Tarasov N. 4. Supranovich N. 18. Ignatiev M. 78. Kiselev G. (C) 5. Zhilmostnykh D. 22. Nemchenko A. 35. Enin I. 55. Saplinov A. 57. Tlekhugov M. 23. Chikanchi M.
Substitutes
70. Abdokov N. 77. Bagatelia L. 4. Dziov M. 5. Gabaraev A. 95. Gaponov I. 21. Gongadze G. 17. Kovalev A. 97. Magomedov B. 11. Motpan N. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 18. Simonov K. 9. Turishchev M.	3. Bugriev S. 69. Chursin K. 56. Demyanov V. 68. Gaydash M. (G) 99. Gharibyan A. 17. Kalachev I. 6. Kaplenko K. 80. Khorin A. A. 66. Makarenko Y. 11. Nazarenko E. 85. Puchkov S. 8. Sadov D.
Coaches
Vasilenko O.	Bondar S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Pusi B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Kiselev G. ↓, Gharibyan A. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Bagamaev A. ⚽,
55', Yurganov I. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Tarasov N. ⚽,
62', Nemchenko A. ↓, Sadov D. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Pusi B. ⚽,
65', Uridia M. ↓, Gabaraev A. ↑,
68', 3 - 2, Tarasov N. ⚽,
71', Tlekhugov M. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
71', Enin I. ↓, Nazarenko E. ↑,
77', Pusi B. 🟨,
77', Alshin I. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
77', Yakimov V. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
79', Sadov D. 🟨,
87', Nazarenko E. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
90', Bagamaev A. ↓, Simonov K. ↑,
90', Pusi B. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
90+2', Gongadze G. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fakel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fakel has had a series of home games.

In this match, Fakel is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fakel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
03.11.25	Fakel - Torpedo Moscow	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
30.10.25	Fakel - Arsenal Tula	2:3 ✺
Russian FNL
26.10.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Fakel	1:0 ✺
20.10.25	Fakel - Rotor	4:0 ✺
Russian Cup
16.10.25	Fakel - Ural	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW
- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
02.11.25	Spartak Kostroma - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Shinnik - Spartak Kostroma	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Spartak Kostroma - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ufa - Spartak Kostroma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
20.07.25	Spartak Kostroma - Fakel	0:1

Upcoming Matches