Match Info

FNL - Round 19

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Urozhay (Karavaevo)

Referee: Karpov Y. (Rus)


	Spartak Kostroma		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.23	2.97	2.52
	3.04	2.94	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.96)	2.96 ↑ (2.95)	2.51 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Spartak Kostroma
30.2%

Draw
32.1%

Rodina Moscow
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

32.2%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

33.1%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Spartak Kostroma - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Spartak Kostroma will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
68. Gaydash M. (G) 18. Ignatiev M. 5. Zhilmostnykh D. 4. Supranovich N. 2. Tarasov N. 22. Nemchenko A. 8. Sadov D. 57. Tlekhugov M. 55. Saplinov A. 35. Enin I. (C) 23. Chikanchi M.	13. Volkov S. (G) 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 55. Krizan M. 88. Sokol A. 49. Dyatlov I. 5. Egorychev A. 6. Fishchenko R. 77. Koryan A. 3. Goglichidze L. 7. Gueye P. 9. Maksimenko A.
Substitutes
3. Bugriev S. 69. Chursin K. 56. Demyanov V. 1. Eshchenko S. (G) 17. Kalachev I. 6. Kaplenko K. 80. Khorin A. A. 78. Kiselev G. 24. Kudryashov I. 66. Makarenko Y. 11. Nazarenko E. 85. Puchkov S.	18. Abdusalamov M. 1. Aydarov S. (G) 22. Beskibalniy A. 24. Biryukov A. 52. Kuzmichev I. 66. Larionov E. 78. Omarov M. 71. Svinov I. (G) 19. Tikhonov D. 99. Timoshenko I. 23. Ushatov K.
Coaches
Bondar S.	Diaz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Gueye P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zhilmostnykh D. ↓, Kiselev G. ↑,
46', Nemchenko A. ↓, Kaplenko K. ↑,
46', Gueye P. ↓, Timoshenko I. ↑,
61', Koryan A. 🟨,
61', Tarasov N. 🟨,
67', Meshchaninov A. ↓, Kuzmichev I. ↑,
70', Tlekhugov M. ↓, Khorin A. A. ↑,
70', Sadov D. ↓, Chursin K. ↑,
74', Egorychev A. ↓, Ushatov K. ↑,
76', Enin I. ↓, Bugriev S. ↑,
85', Goglichidze L. ↓, Tikhonov D. ↑,
89', Khorin A. A. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Spartak Kostroma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spartak Kostroma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
10.11.25	Fakel - Spartak Kostroma	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Spartak Kostroma - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Shinnik - Spartak Kostroma	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Spartak Kostroma - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTLT
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
08.11.25	Rodina Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Rodina Moscow - Rotor	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	KAMAZ - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Rodina Moscow - Chelyabinsk	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
27.07.25	Rodina Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	1:3
Russian Cup
16.10.24	Rodina Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	1:2

Upcoming Matches