The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Moscow 70.5%
Draw 19.1%
Rotor 10.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70%
19.2%
10.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
9.7%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-35.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Moscow that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rotor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
14.3%
35.7%
Spartak Moscow - Rotor Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Spartak M will win (votes: 14 - 50%). Rotor will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak M: 31.5% – 68.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 15 in the zone Relegation to FNL).
Spartak M has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (25%), has a small chance of win league (8%).
Rotor has a good chance of relegated (75%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Spartak M could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Spartak M is indisputable favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Spartak M won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Spartak M won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.