Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday


	Lokomotiv Moscow		Rotor

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	8	Watch
	1.5	3.8	7	Watch
	1.48	3.9	6.5
	1.46	3.9	7
	1.46	4.19	8.61
	1.44	3.9	8
	1.51	4.33	9.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.51)	4 ↑ (3.91)	7.76 ↑ (6.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Moscow
64.2%

Draw
23.6%

Rotor
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

24%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

20.2%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.4%	7%	11.6%

Lokomotiv Moscow - Rotor Predictions

Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Moscow will win (35 of 43 users predict this - 81.4%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.77% – 93.03%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 16 in the zone Relegation to FNL).

Lokomotiv has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (17%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Rotor has a good chance of relegated (79%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lokomotiv in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rotor is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Lokomotiv is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lokomotiv to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Moscow
UEFA Champions League
21.10.20	Red Bull Salzburg - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
17.10.20	Lokomotiv Moscow - Ufa	1:0 ✺
04.10.20	Lokomotiv Moscow - Khimki	2:1 ✺
27.09.20	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
20.09.20	Lokomotiv Moscow - Tambov	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWWWW
- Rotor Volgograd
Russian Cup
21.10.20	Krylya Sovetov - Rotor	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
18.10.20	Rotor - Tambov	0:2 ✺
03.10.20	Ufa - Rotor	0:0 ✺
27.09.20	Rotor - Rubin Kazan	1:3 ✺
Russian Cup
23.09.20	Dynamo Stavropol - Rotor	Dynamo Stavropol awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTL?

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