Match Info

SCOTLAND: SCOTTISH CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Spartans		Hearts

	1	X	2
	9	4.5	1.36	Watch
	7	4.75	1.34
	8	5	1.35	Watch
	8	5.64	1.28
	7.95	5.22	1.33
	12	6.5	1.17
	7.9	5.05	1.35	Watch
	7.4	4.9	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.41 ↑ (6.98)	5.2 ↑ (4.52)	1.32 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartans
11.1%

Draw
18%

Hearts
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

20.1%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

18.5%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartans than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hearts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Spartans - Hearts Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Spartans will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Hearts will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carswell B. (G) 5. Tapping J. 15. Sonkur A. 4. Waugh K. (C) 3. Booth C. 7. Dishington J. 2. Watson K. 28. Craigen J. 33. Whyte B. 9. Henderson B. 26. Armstrong R.	1. Gordon C. (C) 2. Kent F. 4. Halkett C. 3. Kingsley S. 17. Forrest A. 6. Baningime B. 7. Grant J. 19. Cochrane A. 11. Oda Y. 30. Tagawa K. 77. Vargas K.
Substitutes
17. Brown A. 10. Brown S. 14. Denholm D. 8. Jones S. 12. McCready M. (G) 6. Morrison G. 20. Newman S. 11. Russell C. 44. Watson P.	28. Clark Z. (G) 22. Denholm A. 81. Lembikisa D. 8. Nieuwenhof C. 24. Pollock F. 39. Sandilands C. 21. Sibbick T. 25. Tait M. 54. Wilson J.

Preview

Spartans is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hearts in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hearts could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hearts is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartans FC
Scottish League Two
13.01.24	Spartans - Stenhousemuir	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Peterhead - Spartans	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Spartans - Stranraer	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Elgin City - Spartans	0:4 ✺
09.12.23	Spartans - Forfar Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWW
- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
02.01.24	Livingston - Hearts	1:2 ✺
30.12.23	Hearts - Ross County	2:2 ✺
27.12.23	Hibernian - Hearts	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Hearts - St. Mirren	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Celtic - Hearts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.1 WTWWW

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