Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max


	Spezia		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.17	6.50	11.00
	1.15	6.4	12.5	Watch
	1.24	7.63	17.66
	1.2	5.9	11.5	Watch
	1.1	8.35	20
	1.09	6.85	16.5	Watch
	1.15	6.8	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.33)	6.92 ↑ (4.39)	14.45 ↑ (9.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is -0.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
80.2%

Draw
13.4%

Vis Pesaro
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

20.9%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

19.7%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spezia's performance.

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spezia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Spezia - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spezia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Spezia (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spezia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 37. Mateju A. 13. Sapola M. 6. Sganzerla R. 72. Capolupo S. 14. Capomaggio G. 70. Bright K. 97. Cazzadori D. 10. Jimenez K. 11. Cardinali A. 9. Mazzocchi S. (C)	16. Guarnone A. (G) 45. Giorgini P. 5. Tonucci D. 3. Barranco G. 2. Conti N. 55. Mariani E. 7. Pucciarelli M. 30. Maucci G. 36. Bailo G. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 90. Lari N.
Substitutes
20. Bastoni S. 44. Benvenuto M. 22. Ciocci G. (G) 7. Di Serio G. 35. Doretti G. (G) 77. Durmush M. 90. Fontanarosa R. 65. Giorgeschi S. 5. Joselito 24. Limonelli C. 55. Spedalieri J. 28. Zilli M.	23. Beghetto L. 24. Berengo N. 78. Carnaroli A. 74. Fraternale A. 80. Gambino G. 31. Genovese N. 47. Konate A. 22. Mariani M. (G) 9. Nicastro F. 4. Nina C. 1. Piersanti M. (G) 33. Pompilio F. 27. Sculli F. 6. Tomassini A. 21. Vaccaro C.
Coaches
Turati M.	Gennari A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Cardinali A. ⚽, Mazzocchi S. (A),
15', Di Paola M. ↓, Nicastro F. ↑,
19', 2 - 0, Mazzocchi S. ⚽, Cazzadori D. (A),
39', Maucci G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bright K. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
46', Tonucci D. ↓, Konate A. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Nicastro F. ⚽, Maucci G. (A),
62', Maucci G. ↓, Berengo N. ↑,
63', Mariani E. ↓, Gambino G. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Cazzadori D. ⚽,
73', Jimenez K. ↓, Joselito ↑,
73', Lari N. ↓, Sculli F. ↑,
78', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
89', Cardinali A. ↓, Durmush M. ↑,
89', Capolupo S. ↓, Benvenuto M. ↑,
90+6', Barranco G. 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 20th in the Relegation).

Spezia arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Vis Pesaro is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The betting markets point to Spezia as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Spezia has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for Spezia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Spezia	8	7	1	0	15:4	11	22
20	Vis Pesaro	7	1	1	5	8:16	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
16.09.26	Perugia - Spezia	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Spezia - Livorno	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Sambenedettese - Spezia	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Spezia - Vado	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.08.26	Spezia - Campobasso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
16.09.26	Vis Pesaro - Reggiana	1:4 ✺
12.09.26	Forlì - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Vis Pesaro - Ostia Mare	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	5:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
30.08.26	Vis Pesaro - Perugia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.08.25	Spezia - Vis Pesaro	Canceled

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