Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)

Referee: Haro D. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	GOL Peru, Liga 1 Play
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter


	Sport Boys		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	4.75	Watch
	1.6	3.85	5.25	Watch
	1.96	3.51	3.46	Watch
	1.65	3.72	5.05	Watch
	1.6	3.65	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.96)	3.75 ↑ (3.51)	4.66 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Boys
55.2%

Draw
24.8%

Cajamarca
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.4%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Boys's performance.

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cajamarca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Boys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cajamarca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Sport Boys - Cajamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sport Boys will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB, 1st Half - Sport Boys (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sport Boys (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Sport Boys (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sport Boys will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sport Boys (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rivadeneyra S. (C) 9. Nequecaur L. 31. Carbajal C. 41. Solis A. 26. Riojas H. 99. Alarcon J. 11. Urruti L. 27. Villalta B. 8. Da C. H. 24. Mora O. 7. Lopez C.	21. Campos D. (G) 17. Garro L. 27. Serra P. 6. Lujan J. 7. Ibarguen Y. 13. Oncoy F. 10. Ramirez E. 5. Aguirre J. 8. Mejia C. 26. Vega J. 11. Quintero J.
Substitutes
16. Aranda S. 88. Franco E. (G) 28. Gonzales E. 77. Martinez F. 22. Rios J. 13. Roca F. 18. Rodriguez G. 6. Saba E. 25. Salazar R.	14. Alvarez L. 28. De la Cruz L. 12. Heredia M. (G) 19. Palacios B. 25. Rosell Delgado J. A. 3. Rugel L. 20. Vasquez A. 16. Villamarin R.
Coaches
Cabanillas J. C.	Lisi H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Aguirre J. ⚽, Vega J. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Nequecaur L. (Pen),
20', Aguirre J. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Riojas H. ⚽, Alarcon J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Nequecaur L. 🟨,
66', Riojas H. 🟨,
69', 2 - 2, Vega J. ⚽, Aguirre J. (A),
72', Alarcon J. ↓, Saba E. ↑,
72', Carbajal C. ↓, Aranda S. ↑,
74', Aguirre J. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
82', Ramirez E. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
82', Ibarguen Y. ↓, Villamarin R. ↑,
85', Solis A. ↓, Gonzales J. ↑,
89', Quintero J. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
89', Oncoy F. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
90+3', Mora O. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 2.

Sport Boys is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cajamarca has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sport Boys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sport Boys is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sport Boys: Gonzales E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sport Boys won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Boys Association
Peruvian Liga 1
20.10.25	Sport Boys - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
16.10.25	Alianza Lima - Sport Boys	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Sport Boys - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Boys	2:3 ✺
22.09.25	Sport Boys - Atlético Grau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLWWT
- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
26.10.25	Cajamarca - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Cajamarca - Cienciano	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Cajamarca - Los Chankas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
28.06.25	Cajamarca - Sport Boys	1:1
27.10.24	Sport Boys - Cajamarca	1:1
20.05.24	Cajamarca - Sport Boys	2:4
29.09.23	Cajamarca - Sport Boys	1:1
22.05.23	Sport Boys - Cajamarca	3:2
11.07.22	Sport Boys - Cajamarca	3:0
04.02.22	Cajamarca - Sport Boys	2:1

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