The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Boys 46%
Draw 26.5%
FBC Melgar 27.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.4%
25.7%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
25.4%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Boys's performance.
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FBC Melgar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-16%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Boys that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FBC Melgar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Sport Boys - FBC Melgar Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sport Boys will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Melgar will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Melian D. (G) 4. Alfani R. 26. Riojas H. (C) 55. Dulanto G. 7. Lopez C. 24. Mora O. 5. Illanes F. 8. Da Campo N. 11. Urruti L. 9. Nequecaur L. 10. Alarcon J.
12. Caceda C. (C) 33. Lazo M. 23. Escobar J. 90. Jesus Alcantar 27. Cabanillas N. 8. Guzman L. 24. Tandazo W. 6. Salas J. 45. Zegarra M. 10. Quagliata N. 11. Vidales J.
Substitutes
35. Alvarado D. 14. Diaz R. 23. Gonzales J. 21. Huaman A. 29. Loyola N. 36. Paz N. 1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 80. Torres J. 20. Vasquez A.
20. Bernaola G. 21. Cabezudo J. (G) 16. Caceres J. 80. D'Arrigo J. 5. Deneumostier A. 17. De Santis J. 22. Erustes P. 36. Nunez P. 4. Ramos A.
Coaches
Desio C.
Rondelli M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Vidales J. ⚽, Quagliata N. (A),
21', 0 - 2, Vidales J. ⚽, Zegarra M. (A),
42', Guzman L. 🟨,
44', 0 - 3, Zegarra M. ⚽, Quagliata N. (A),
45+3', Illanes F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alarcon J. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
46', Alfani R. ↓, Loyola N. ↑,
59', 1 - 3, Nequecaur L. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Dulanto G. ↓, Alvarado D. ↑,
63', Guzman L. ↓, Erustes P. ↑,
68', Alvarado D. 🟨,
69', Erustes P. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Vidales J. ↓, De Santis J. ↑,
75', Lopez C. 🟥,
75', De Santis J. 🟨,
82', De Santis J. 🟨,
82', Urruti L. 🟥,
82', Jesus Alcantar 🟥,
89', Quagliata N. ↓, Deneumostier A. ↑,
89', Illanes F. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
89', Zegarra M. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
90+9', Tandazo W. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Sport Boys: Solis L.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C.
(Knee Injury)
Cuesta B.
(Red Card)
Orzan H.
(Injury)
Zanelatto F.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Sport Boys won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
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Melian D. (G) 
Alfani R. 
Riojas H. (C) 
Lopez C. 
Escobar J. 
Jesus Alcantar 
De Santis J. 
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