The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife 55.3%
Draw 26.4%
Paysandu 18.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.9%
21.5%
11.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.1%
19.6%
12.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Recife's form might have worsened.
Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paysandu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Recife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paysandu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.7%
5.9%
29.4%
Sport Recife - Paysandu Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Paysandu will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 42% – 87.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Caique Franca (G) 54. Pedro Lima 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 40. Luciano Castan 29. Dalbert 94. Felipe 8. Dominguez F. 19. Lucas Lima 10. Ruiz A. 11. Romarinho 9. Gustavo Coutinho
13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 2. Edilson 4. Wanderson 27. Lucas Maia 36. Kevyn 8. Joao Vieira 28. Leandro Vilela 14. Juninho 18. Edinho 11. Nicolas (C) 15. Garcia E.
Substitutes
12. Alisson Cassiano 44. Chico 7. Fabinho 47. Fabio Matheus 43. Luciano 27. Pablo Dyego 48. Pedro Martins 17. Pedro Vilhena 28. Rosales R. 21. Thiago Couto (G) 14. Vinicius Faria 99. Ze Roberto
21. Bryan 23. Carlao 38. Crystopher 12. Diogo Silva (G) 9. Gabriel Santos 34. Leo Pereira 5. Netinho 3. Quintana Y. 20. Robinho 26. Ruan Ribeiro 10. Vinicius Leite
Coaches
Soso M.
Helio dos Anjos
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Romarinho ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
31', Edinho ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
34', Lucas Lima 🟨,
35', Juninho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Juninho ↓, Robinho ↑,
58', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Ze Roberto ↑,
59', Pedro Lima ↓, Vinicius Faria ↑,
61', Luciano Castan 🟨,
64', Leandro Vilela ↓, Crystopher ↑,
64', Garcia E. 🟨,
64', Garcia E. ↓, Vinicius Leite ↑,
68', Ruan Ribeiro 🟨,
70', Wanderson 🟨,
73', 1 - 0, Dominguez F. ⚽, Ze Roberto (A),
74', Dominguez F. 🟨,
78', Lucas Lima ↓, Chico ↑,
78', Dalbert ↓, Fabio Matheus ↑,
79', Felipe 🟨,
84', Joao Vieira ↓, Gabriel Santos ↑,
86', Chico 🟨,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16).
Recife is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Paysandu is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Paysandu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Recife is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Recife won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Recife won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Watch
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Caique Franca (G) 
Dominguez F. 
Ruiz A. 
Garcia E. 
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