Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 8

Date: 25 August 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)


	Sportivo Ameliano		Guaireña

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.71	3.45	4.4
	1.82	3.66	4.68
	1.77	3.58	4.33
	1.8	3.55	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 (1.77)	3.55 ↓ (3.73)	4.34 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Ameliano
52.5%

Draw
26.2%

Guaireña
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.6%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.6%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Sportivo Ameliano - Guaireña Predictions

Users Predictions: Sportivo Ameliano will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Papaleo J. (C) 2. Franco F. 13. Cabrera W. 3. Gutierrez T. 19. Paredes A. 7. Samudio A. 5. Maiz A. 10. Barreto D. 11. Vera E. 8. Adorno M. 9. Bareiro S.	12. Servin C. (G) 2. Gimenez A. 3. Castellano T. 5. Gonzalez J. 6. Paniagua M. (C) 24. Aguilar J. 25. Camisassa B. 37. Comas L. 22. Borja E. 26. Vazquez O. 31. Franco Zayas A. F.
Substitutes
16. Anibal 25. Balbuena J. (G) 14. Duarte D. 6. Estigarribia M. 4. Gonzalez J. 18. Ortiz L. 17. Torales Richard	8. Cazal I. 10. Duarte C. 28. Finochietto L. (G) 19. Godoy D. 11. Martinez A. 7. Parzajuk K. 20. Toledo R.
Coaches
Garcia H.	Ovelar H.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Ameliano won 3.

Sportivo Ameliano is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guaireña is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sportivo Ameliano is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sportivo Ameliano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Ameliano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.08.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	0:3 ✺
11.08.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion	2:0 ✺
07.08.23	Tacuary - Sportivo Ameliano	2:2 ✺
29.07.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
23.07.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWTLW
- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.08.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaireña	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Guaireña - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
06.08.23	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Guaireña - Tacuary	1:2 ✺
24.07.23	Libertad Asuncion - Guaireña	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
22.05.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaireña	1:1
18.03.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Ameliano	0:1
Copa Paraguay
27.09.22	Guaireña - Sportivo Ameliano	0:2
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.09.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaireña	2:0
19.07.22	Guaireña - Sportivo Ameliano	3:1
27.06.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaireña	2:2
17.04.22	Guaireña - Sportivo Ameliano	2:1

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