Match Info

PARAGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Martín Torres (Asunción)

Referee: Lopez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports
World	DirecTV Sports


	Sportivo Ameliano		Sol de América

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.2
	2.25	3	3.3	Watch
	2.24	3.03	3.64
	2.22	2.97	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.19	3.11	3.43	Watch
	2.25	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.24)	3 ↓ (3.04)	3.38 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Ameliano
41.9%

Draw
30.8%

Sol de América
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.2%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Sol de América have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de América than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Sportivo Ameliano - Sol de América Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cristoforo F. (G) 19. Paredes A. 2. Patino Martinez J. 4. Gutierrez T. 26. Gonzalez J. 6. Zaracho E. (C) 29. Valdez I. 28. Gonzalez Coronel J. C. 40. Contrera A. 34. Bogado G. 17. Torales Richard	1. Ortiz G. (G) 16. Gimenez A. 30. Benegas I. 4. Delvalle R. 14. Diaz F. 21. Barrios V. 6. Jorge J. 18. Orue D. (C) 11. Ortiz L. 9. Fernandez D. 25. Diaz F.
Substitutes
16. Aranda P. 14. Benitez B. 20. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 11. Fretes S. 39. Galeano A. (G) 15. Gimenez Delgado J. J. 5. Maiz A. 9. Ocampos C. 22. Romero O. 21. Sarquis E. 32. Servian A. 33. Villagra L.	3. Aguayo A. 8. Amarilla C. 28. Aranda D. (G) 33. Banegas J. F. 29. Cabrera L. 32. Caceres E. 5. Garcia R. 2. Gimenez G. 22. Gonzalez M. 23. Quintana B. 19. Roa R. 7. Valdez D.
Coaches
Bobadilla A.	Torres R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
25', Gutierrez T. ↓, Aranda P. ↑,
29', Benegas I. 🟥,
35', Zaracho E. 🟨,
38', Fernandez D. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
45+3', Jorge J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gonzalez Coronel J. C. ↓, Sarquis E. ↑,
46', Diaz F. ↓, Roa R. ↑,
68', Contrera A. ↓, Fretes S. ↑,
68', Torales Richard ↓, Ocampos C. ↑,
68', Jorge J. ↓, Valdez D. ↑,
69', Barrios V. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
70', Roa R. 🟨,
80', Valdez I. ↓, Gimenez Delgado J. J. ↑,
84', Ortiz L. ↓, Amarilla C. ↑,
88', Gimenez Delgado J. J. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Delvalle R. (Own goal),
90+3', Delvalle R. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Ameliano won 3.

Sportivo Ameliano is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sol de América is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Sportivo Ameliano have a series of guest games.

Sportivo Ameliano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sportivo Ameliano won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Ameliano won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division
13.09.24	General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Ameliano	0:4 ✺
Copa Paraguay
08.09.24	Benjamín Aceval - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.09.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Luqueño	3:1 ✺
29.08.24	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWTL
- Sol de América
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.09.24	Sol de América - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
07.09.24	Sportivo Limpeño - Sol de América	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.09.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Sol de América	1:0 ✺
28.08.24	Sol de América - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
23.08.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sol de América	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
03.06.24	Sol de América - Sportivo Ameliano	2:1
18.03.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Sol de América	2:1
01.11.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Sol de América	2:1
03.09.22	Sol de América - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1
01.07.22	Sol de América - Sportivo Ameliano	0:1
21.04.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Sol de América	3:1

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