Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Martín Torres (Asunción) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	17:00	Tigo Sports
Usa	16:00	Fanatiz


	Sportivo Trinidense		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.30	4.00	Watch
	1.78	3.30	3.80
	1.86	3.45	3.90	Watch
	1.85	3.58	4.43
	1.93	3.44	3.91	Watch
	1.80	3.50	4.35
	1.84	3.54	4.10	Watch
	1.80	3.40	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.86)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	4.06 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Trinidense
50.5%

Draw
26.8%

Sportivo Luqueño
22.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.5%

27.5%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

26.9%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Samudio V. (G) 23. Benitez C. 40. Da Silveira A. 6. Canete A. 4. Melgarejo D. 5. Gauto N. 10. Mana N. 21. Viera G. 29. Rayer T. 31. Morinigo A. 7. Camacho N. (C)	1. Campisi N. (G) 2. Barreto M. 3. Brizuela A. 6. Wiechniak F. 23. Cantero A. 14. Benitez F. 37. Comas L. (C) 30. Franco T. 10. Bogado G. 11. Ruiz O. 20. Maggi I.
Substitutes
13. Barone F. 24. Baruja F. 19. Cano Esteche A. B. 8. De la Cruz L. 1. Dufour M. (G) 22. Gamarra J. 9. Gimenez O. 37. Gonzalez L. 16. Marcelino J. 14. Mendoza S. 17. Roman J. 3. Villalba D.	28. Balbuena A. 24. Beltran S. 18. Bobadilla F. 9. Gonzalez W. 8. Maiz A. 12. Mongelos F. (G) 29. Muro T. 22. Ocampos S. 21. Ojeda M. 7. Pereira K. 19. Perez M. 25. Ramos J.
Coaches
Arrua J.	Barrios L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Rayer T. ⚽,
12', Cantero A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Maggi I. ⚽, Ruiz O. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Camacho N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Franco T. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
46', Brizuela A. ↓, Ocampos S. ↑,
58', Comas L. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
61', Gauto N. 🟨,
63', 2 - 2, Maggi I. ⚽, Ocampos S. (A),
64', Mana N. ↓, Gamarra J. ↑,
64', Camacho N. ↓, Barone F. ↑,
65', Rayer T. 🟨,
69', Maiz A. 🟨,
73', Benitez F. ↓, Muro T. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Viera G. ⚽, Barone F. (A),
78', Ruiz O. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
78', Morinigo A. ↓, Roman J. ↑,
84', Rayer T. ↓, Villalba D. ↑,
84', Gauto N. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 6th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Sportivo Trinidense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Sportivo Trinidense carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Trinidense has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:31 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sportivo Trinidense against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 17:18 goals (averaging 1.7:1.8 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sportivo Trinidense	16	9	3	4	26:14	12	30
9	Sp. Luqueno	16	5	1	10	17:30	-13	16

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo Luqueño - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 23.02%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.09.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Trinidense	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWLW
- Sportivo Luqueño
Copa Paraguay
01.10.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.09.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Deportivo Recoleta	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
29.07.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:4
25.04.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1
25.02.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1
17.10.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:0
02.08.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño	2:0
15.04.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:0
01.02.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0

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