Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 40

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	St Albans City		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.12	3.2	3.4
	2.12	3.14	3.64	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.23	3.12	3.33
	2.12	3.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.47)	3.16 ↓ (3.39)	3.26 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
42.4%

Draw
29.3%

Hornchurch
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

27.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.1%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Albans City's performance.

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hornchurch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hornchurch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St Albans City - Hornchurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Coleman De-Graft R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 1, Jeffers S. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

St Albans could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches St Albans won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English National League South
18.03.25	St Albans City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Chesham United - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
10.03.25	Chelmsford City - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	St Albans City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Chippenham Town - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLTT
- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
15.03.25	Hornchurch - Slough Town	2:3 ✺
10.03.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hornchurch	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Hornchurch - Maidstone United	0:0 ✺
04.03.25	Farnborough - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Weymouth - Hornchurch	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
20.08.24	Hornchurch - St Albans City	1:0

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