Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Kybunpark (St. Gallen)

Referee: Petrik J. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 3, TV4


	St. Gallen		Śląsk Wrocław

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.53	4	5.25
	1.55	4.2	5.5
	1.53	4.05	5.83
	1.58	4.1	5.33	Watch
	1.51	4.4	5.7	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.88)	4.11 ↑ (3.55)	5.52 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Gallen
60.3%

Draw
22.8%

Śląsk Wrocław
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

26.1%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

25.7%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Gallen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Gallen's performance.

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Śląsk Wrocław might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Gallen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Śląsk Wrocław could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	2.8%	8.3%

St. Gallen - Śląsk Wrocław Predictions

Users Predictions: St. Gallen will win (64 of 70 users predict this - 91.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.87% – 97.99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ati Zigi L. (G) 33. Schmidt I. 5. Ambrosius S. 20. Vallci A. 36. Okoroji C. 64. Stevanovic M. 16. Gortler L. (C) 24. Toma B. 7. Witzig C. 9. Geubbels W. 10. Akolo C.	12. Leszczynski R. (G) 22. Zukowski M. 87. Petrov S. 5. Petkov A. (C) 3. Szota S. 77. Cebula M. 16. Pokorny P. 17. Schwarz P. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 11. Musiolik S. 10. Nahuel M.
Substitutes
11. Cisse M. 77. Csoboth K. 15. Diaby A. 22. Faber K. 63. Konietzke C. 18. Mambimbi F. 90. Milosevic J. 14. Noah Yannick 8. Quintilla J. 30. Ruiz V. 4. Stanic J. 25. Watkowiak L. (G)	21. Baluta T. 6. Gerstenstein L. 78. Guercio T. 26. Ince B. 29. Jezierski J. 1. Loska T. (G) 33. Matsenko Y. 19. Ortiz A. 2. Paluszek A. 44. Sliczniak H. (G)
Coaches
Maassen E.	Magiera J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Akolo C. ⚽, Toma B. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Geubbels W. ⚽, Akolo C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Szota S. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
63', Gortler L. ↓, Quintilla J. ↑,
64', Witzig C. ↓, Csoboth K. ↑,
64', Samiec-Talar P. ↓, Ince B. ↑,
74', Geubbels W. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
74', Akolo C. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
78', Cebula M. ↓, Jezierski J. ↑,
81', Toma B. ↓, Milosevic J. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

St. Gallen is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Śląsk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

St. Gallen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match St. Gallen is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's St. Gallen to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Gallen
Swiss Super League
04.08.24	Lausanne-Sport - St. Gallen	3:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Tobol Kostanay - St. Gallen	0:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
28.07.24	St. Gallen - Young Boys	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	St. Gallen - Tobol Kostanay	4:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
20.07.24	Winterthur - St. Gallen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWL
- Śląsk Wrocław
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Riga	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.07.24	Piast Gliwice - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.24	Riga - Śląsk Wrocław	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.07.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Mladá Boleslav	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLTT

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