Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	St. Pauli		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	1.72	4	4.5	Watch
	1.7	4	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.75
	1.76	3.8	4.2
	1.82	3.93	4.43
	1.7	3.7	4.5
	1.74	4.05	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.02)	3.91 ↑ (3.53)	4.47 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli
54.6%

Draw
24.2%

Dynamo Dresden
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

26.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

20.7%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Pauli's performance.

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Dresden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pauli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	9.7%	6.5%

St. Pauli - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: St. Pauli will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion) and 8).

St. Pauli has the most likely position - 1 (10.13%), has project points - 54, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of promoted (23%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

Dynamo Dresden has the most likely position - 10 (7.6%), has project points - 47, has currently - 13, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Dynamo Dresden could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match St. Pauli is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-17.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
25.09.21	Karlsruher - St. Pauli	1:3 ✺
19.09.21	St. Pauli - Ingolstadt	4:1 ✺
11.09.21	Hannover - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
29.08.21	St. Pauli - Jahn Regensburg	2:0 ✺
21.08.21	Paderborn - St. Pauli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWL
- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
26.09.21	Dynamo Dresden - Werder Bremen	3:0 ✺
19.09.21	Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden	1:0 ✺
12.09.21	Heidenheim - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
29.08.21	Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn	0:3 ✺
21.08.21	Hansa Rostock - Dynamo Dresden	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
14.02.20	St. Pauli - Dynamo Dresden	0:0
31.08.19	Dynamo Dresden - St. Pauli	3:3
03.05.19	Dynamo Dresden - St. Pauli	2:1
01.12.18	St. Pauli - Dynamo Dresden	1:1
25.01.18	Dynamo Dresden - St. Pauli	1:3
07.08.17	St. Pauli - Dynamo Dresden	2:2
12.02.17	St. Pauli - Dynamo Dresden	2:0

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