Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Nova Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	St. Pauli		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.5	11	Watch
	1.22	6.5	13
	1.22	6	12	Watch
	1.22	7.16	13.16
	1.24	6.44	12.47
	1.2	6	12	Watch
	1.24	6.3	11.5	Watch
	1.23	6.4	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.23)	6.41 ↓ (6.59)	12.02 ↑ (11.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli
77.3%

Draw
14.8%

Osnabrück
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.2%

14.4%

8.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

St. Pauli - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Osnabrück will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 8. Smith E. 3. Mets K. 21. Ritzka L. 7. Irvine J. (C) 10. Hartel M. 24. Metcalfe C. 17. Afolayan O. 11. Eggestein J. 26. Saad E.	22. Kuhn P. (G) 5. Ajdini B. 33. Beermann T. 25. Wiemann N. 3. Kleinhansl F. 26. Gnaase D. 8. Tesche R. 17. Conteh C. 11. Makridis C. 7. Niemann N. 10. Wriedt K. O.
Substitutes
19. Albers A. 14. Amenyido E. 16. Boukhalfa C. 30. Burchert S. (G) 25. Dzwigala A. 36. Kemlein A. 4. Nemeth D. 32. Scheller T. 15. Sinani D.	2. Androutsos A. 14. Diakhite O. 37. Goiginger T. 1. Grill L. (G) 18. Kehl L. 21. Lobinger L. 16. Rorig H. 6. Thalhammer M. 32. Wulff J.
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Koschinat U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Afolayan O. ⚽, Ritzka L. (A),
15', Smith E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', Ritzka L. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Afolayan O. ⚽, Irvine J. (A),
67', Conteh C. ↓, Goiginger T. ↑,
67', Niemann N. ↓, Wulff J. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Hartel M. ⚽, Afolayan O. (A),
72', Smith E. ↓, Nemeth D. ↑,
80', Wriedt K. O. ↓, Lobinger L. ↑,
80', Makridis C. ↓, Kehl L. ↑,
84', Eggestein J. ↓, Albers A. ↑,
85', Hartel M. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
85', Afolayan O. ↓, Boukhalfa C. ↑,
87', Gnaase D. ↓, Thalhammer M. ↑,
90+1', Dzwigala A. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 1, Kehl L. (Pen),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

St. Pauli is Qualified for Bundesliga

Osnabrück is Relegated to 3. Liga

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 2.

Recent matches St. Pauli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Osnabrück is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Osnabrück could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match St. Pauli is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
03.05.24	Hamburger SV - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
26.04.24	St. Pauli - Hansa Rostock	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Hannover - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	St. Pauli - Elversberg	3:4 ✺
06.04.24	Karlsruher - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLL
- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
07.05.24	Osnabrück - Schalke 04	0:4 ✺
28.04.24	Magdeburg - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Osnabrück - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Holstein Kiel - Osnabrück	4:0 ✺
07.04.24	Osnabrück - Greuther Fürth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
09.12.23	Osnabrück - St. Pauli	1:1
21.03.21	Osnabrück - St. Pauli	1:2
27.11.20	St. Pauli - Osnabrück	0:1
01.03.20	St. Pauli - Osnabrück	3:1
22.09.19	Osnabrück - St. Pauli	1:1
Club Friendly
07.01.17	St. Pauli - Osnabrück	0:3

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