Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 5

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)

Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Wisła Płock		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.9	6.25
	1.49	4.2	5.5
	1.47	4.5	6	Watch
	1.48	4.58	6.05
	1.5	4.29	6.1	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.8
	1.48	4.3	5.87	Watch
	1.47	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.44)	4.31 ↓ (4.4)	5.95 ↓ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
62.9%

Draw
21.5%

Pogoń Siedlce
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

21.2%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

19.8%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wisła Płock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Wisła Płock - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Users Predictions: Wisła Płock will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gostomski M. (G) 5. Nastic B. 44. Haglind-Sangre M. 19. Edmundsson A. 16. Hiszpanski F. 8. Pacheco D. 14. Kun D. 18. Jimenez J. 66. Salvador I. 37. Tomczyk O. 20. Sekulski L. (C)	23. Pruchniewski M. (G) 47. Krzyzak O. 55. Cassio 31. Dzieciol E. 21. Milasius T. 43. Hrnciar L. 7. Danielewicz K. 4. Drag M. 17. Zinkevych O. 9. Lutostanski J. 56. Demianiuk C.
Substitutes
21. Brzozowski M. 11. Famulak M. 99. Gradecki B. (G) 9. Kocyla D. 22. Krawczyk P. 3. Kukulka K. 17. Misiak P. 24. Niepsuj D. 6. Pomorski K.	27. Babor D. 11. Majewski M. 3. Majewski R. 26. Okusami J. 10. Pyrdol P. 8. Sinior J. . Szuprytowski D. 95. Topor E. (G)
Coaches
Misiura M.	Brzozowski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Hrnciar L. 🟨,
31', Hiszpanski F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Salvador I. ↓, Kocyla D. ↑,
57', Zinkevych O. ↓, Szuprytowski D. ↑,
65', Hiszpanski F. ↓, Niepsuj D. ↑,
68', Hrnciar L. ↓, Sinior J. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Jimenez J. ⚽,
77', Kun D. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
77', Sekulski L. ↓, Krawczyk P. ↑,
79', Lutostanski J. ↓, Pyrdol P. ↑,
82', Niepsuj D. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wisła Płock won 2.

Wisła Płock is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pogoń Siedlce has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wisła Płock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wisła Płock is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wisła Płock to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Wisła Płock won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Division 1
11.08.24	Odra Opole - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
03.08.24	Wisła Płock - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Warta Poznań - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
21.07.24	Wisła Płock - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWTT
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
11.08.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
06.08.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Lech Poznań 2	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
02.08.24	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
28.07.24	Odra Opole - Pogoń Siedlce	4:1 ✺
20.07.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.03.23	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1
18.01.19	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1
30.06.18	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Siedlce	4:2
06.10.17	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Siedlce	0:0
01.07.17	Pogoń Siedlce - Wisła Płock	3:0
Polish Division 1
12.03.16	Pogoń Siedlce - Wisła Płock	0:0
22.08.15	Wisła Płock - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2

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