The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stenhousemuir 18.2%
Draw 24%
Partick Thistle 57.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.3%
24.8%
55%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
21.1%
46.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Partick Thistle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stenhousemuir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Partick Thistle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Partick Thistle will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jamieson D. (G) 24. Grant L. 5. Young S. 19. Bright S. 2. Meechan R. (C) 17. Anderson M. 39. Gillies M. 7. O'Reilly E. 37. MacIntyre O. 20. Stevenson G. 10. Shinnie A.
12. McFarlane L. (G) 24. McPherson B. 22. Loughrey C. 20. O'Reilly D. (C) 3. Reading P. 14. Crawford R. 8. Smyth O. 26. Stanway B. 21. Fitzpatrick A. 32. Watt T. 7. Drozd S.
Substitutes
9. Aitken M. 4. Buchanan G. 15. Carrick D. 34. Hemfrey R. (G) 21. Hodgkiss L. 22. Kargbo H. 11. O'Donnell L. 28. Penman C. 8. Robson F.
5. Ashcroft L. 1. Budinauckas L. (G) 6. Dempsey B. 10. Henderson E. 17. Ingram E. 64. Letsosa T. 2. Logan C. 11. Mackay-Steven G. 9. Samuel A.
Coaches
Bartley M.
Wilson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Meechan R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Young S. 🟨,
56', O'Reilly D. 🟨,
57', McPherson B. 🟨,
63', Watt T. ↓, Samuel A. ↑,
63', Fitzpatrick A. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
70', Anderson M. 🟨,
70', Stanway B. ↓, Dempsey B. ↑,
72', Stevenson G. ↓, Hodgkiss L. ↑,
72', Shinnie A. ↓, Kargbo H. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Kargbo H. ⚽, Meechan R. (A),
80', O'Reilly E. ↓, O'Donnell L. ↑,
80', Anderson M. ↓, Robson F. ↑,
83', Crawford R. ↓, Letsosa T. ↑,
83', O'Reilly D. ↓, Mackay-Steven G. ↑,
90+3', MacIntyre O. ↓, Buchanan G. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Promotion: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Promotion: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 1.
Stenhousemuir is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Partick has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Stenhousemuir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Partick is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1.2:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Stenhousemuir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.8:2.8).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
Stenhousemuir: 21.23%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Stenhousemuir
8
7
1
0
12:2
10
22
3
Partick Thistle
8
4
3
1
8:2
6
15
Last Results with these Odds
Partick Thistle - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.95%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.