The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stevenage Borough 36.4%
Draw 27.7%
Cheltenham Town 35.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
27.9%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
27.6%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
25%
41.7%
Stevenage Borough - Cheltenham Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. MacGillivray C. (G) 6. Sweeney D. 15. Vancooten T. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 14. Smith K. 24. Thompson B. 23. Thompson L. 22. Guinness-Walker N. 11. Roberts J. 9. List E. 29. Hemmings K.
1. Southwood L. (G) 2. Long S. (C) 33. Davies C. 4. Bradbury T. 7. Kinsella L. 23. Bonds E. 34. Pett T. 8. Sercombe L. 15. Ferry W. 9. Taylor M. 26. Nuttall J.
Substitutes
10. Freeman N. 41. Mitchell R. (G) 20. Pressley A. 45. Smith H. 4. Thompson N. 18. White H. 2. Wildin L.
25. Harrop J. 10. Keena A. 17. Olayinka J. 21. Pardington J. (G) 14. Shepherd J. 27. Thomas J. 3. Williams B.
Coaches
Revell A.
Clarke D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Southwood L. ↓, Pardington J. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 0, Hemmings K. (Pen),
45+3', Nuttall J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kinsella L. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
50', Roberts J. 🟨,
51', Thomas J. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Taylor M. ⚽, Ferry W. (A),
54', List E. ↓, Freeman N. ↑,
68', Nuttall J. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
68', Bonds E. ↓, Olayinka J. ↑,
68', Hemmings K. ↓, Pressley A. ↑,
74', Thompson B. 🟨,
82', Ferry W. ↓, Shepherd J. ↑,
84', Shepherd J. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Freeman N. ⚽, Roberts J. (A),
90+4', Roberts J. ↓, Smith H. ↑,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Cheltenham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Cheltenham have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-4.