Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 40

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Whaddon Road (Cheltenham)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)


	Cheltenham Town		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	2.9	4.2	2.1
	2.95	3.6	2.15
	3.1	4	2.05	Watch
	3.06	4.17	2.2
	3.06	4.17	2.11
	2.9	3.8	2.15
	3.04	3.78	2.18	Watch
	2.9	3.95	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.03)	3.96 ↑ (3.84)	2.12 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
31.6%

Draw
23.9%

Peterborough United
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

24.6%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

24.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	15%	80%

Cheltenham Town - Peterborough United Predictions

Users Predictions: Peterborough United will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Southwood L. (G) 2. Long S. (C) 33. Davies C. 6. Freestone L. 7. Kinsella L. 23. Bonds E. 34. Pett T. 8. Sercombe L. 15. Ferry W. 26. Nuttall J. 9. Taylor M.	1. Bilokapic N. (G) 36. Dornelly J. 20. Fernandez E. 6. Crichlow-Noble R. 37. Mills H. 2. Katongo J. 8. De Havilland R. 16. Ajiboye D. 17. Jones R.J. 18. Mothersille M. 9. Clarke-Harris J. (C)
Substitutes
4. Bradbury T. 25. Harrop J. 39. Obieri S. 17. Olayinka J. 21. Pardington J. (G) 27. Thomas J. 3. Williams B.	47. Aderoju O. 12. Daley-Campbell V. 22. Kyprianou H. 35. O'Brien-Brady D. 24. O'Connell C. 25. Talley F. (G) 28. Wakeling J.
Coaches
Clarke D.	Ferguson D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Nuttall J. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Taylor M. ⚽, Freestone L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', De Havilland R. ↓, O'Connell C. ↑,
56', Jones R.J. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
72', Dornelly J. ↓, Wakeling J. ↑,
74', Taylor M. 🟨,
79', Taylor M. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
86', Freestone L. ↓, Bradbury T. ↑,
90+2', Ferry W. ↓, Williams B. ↑,
90+2', Sercombe L. ↓, Olayinka J. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Cheltenham is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Peterborough is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Peterborough will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League One
20.04.24	Cheltenham Town - Lincoln City	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	Burton Albion - Cheltenham Town	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers	1:3 ✺
09.04.24	Cheltenham Town - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Leyton Orient - Cheltenham Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- Peterborough United
English League One
20.04.24	Bristol Rovers - Peterborough United	0:2 ✺
16.04.24	Peterborough United - Fleetwood Town	4:1 ✺
13.04.24	Oxford United - Peterborough United	5:0 ✺
10.04.24	Peterborough United - Port Vale	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.04.24	Peterborough United - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
19.09.23	Peterborough United - Cheltenham Town	3:0
11.03.23	Peterborough United - Cheltenham Town	0:3
30.07.22	Cheltenham Town - Peterborough United	2:3
English League Cup
05.09.20	Peterborough United - Cheltenham Town	0:1
Club Friendly
29.07.17	Cheltenham Town - Peterborough United	1:5

Upcoming Matches