Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Gateshead		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.66
	4.75	3.7	1.63
	4.7	3.85	1.7
	4.8	3.9	1.66
	4.76	3.83	1.68
	5	3.5	1.62
	4.75	3.84	1.64	Watch
	4.8	3.95	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (4.24)	3.82 ↑ (3.67)	1.66 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
19.3%

Draw
24.4%

Stevenage Borough
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

25.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

24.8%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Gateshead - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Users Predictions: Stevenage Borough will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Gateshead is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stevenage is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stevenage could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stevenage is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
01.11.22	Chesterfield - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
29.10.22	Gateshead - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
25.10.22	Scunthorpe United - Gateshead	3:1 ✺
22.10.22	Gateshead - Woking	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
18.10.22	Gateshead - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLLW
- Stevenage Borough
English League Two
29.10.22	Colchester United - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
25.10.22	Doncaster Rovers - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Stevenage Borough - Tottenham Hotspur U21	1:0 ✺
English League Two
15.10.22	Gillingham - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLWT

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