The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stevenage Borough 47.1%
Draw 27.9%
Milton Keynes Dons 25%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.8%
28.5%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
28.8%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stevenage Borough's performance.
Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milton Keynes Dons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milton Keynes Dons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 4 - 80%). MK Dons will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Stevenage (2.05) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 9th and 20th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 2.
Stevenage is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by MK Dons have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, MK Dons has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Stevenage holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Stevenage: Pattenden J.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for MK Dons: Barnett R.
(Injury)
Hepburn-Murphy R.
(Inactive)
MacGillivray C.
(Inactive)
Paterson C.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Stevenage: Marcal W.
(Inactive)
Roberts J.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for MK Dons: Nelson C.
(Inactive).
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Stevenage has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:25 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stevenage against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 17:17 goals (averaging 1.7:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Stevenage
10
4
3
3
15:10
5
15
20
MK Dons
10
1
6
3
11:18
-7
9
Outrights of English League One for now
Stevenage: 1.93%
Last Results with these Odds
Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.61%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
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