Match Info

Date: 13 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Broadhall Way (Stevenage)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)


	Stevenage Borough		Newport County

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	4.5
	1.83	3.4	4.4
	1.85	3.1	4.75
	1.85	3.3	4.2
	1.93	3.39	4.48
	1.85	3.25	4.5
	1.91	3.4	4.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.95)	3.31 ↑ (3.24)	4.49 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
50.5%

Draw
28.5%

Newport County
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

28.2%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.3%	10%	26.7%

Stevenage Borough - Newport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 19 - 63.3%). Newport will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 46.1% – 80.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Stevenage has the most likely position - 5 (6.17%), has project points - 69, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Newport has the most likely position - 15 (5.77%), has project points - 59, has currently - 7, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 0.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Stevenage is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League Two
03.09.22	Crewe Alexandra - Stevenage Borough	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Peterborough United - Stevenage Borough	1:2 ✺
English League Two
27.08.22	Salford City - Stevenage Borough	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
23.08.22	Stevenage Borough - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
English League Two
20.08.22	Stevenage Borough - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWLWW
- Newport County
English League Two
03.09.22	Newport County - Grimsby Town	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Exeter City - Newport County	1:2 ✺
English League Two
27.08.22	Harrogate Town - Newport County	0:4 ✺
English League Cup
23.08.22	Newport County - Portsmouth	3:2 ✺
English League Two
20.08.22	Newport County - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.03.22	Stevenage Borough - Newport County	0:2
30.10.21	Newport County - Stevenage Borough	5:0
27.02.21	Newport County - Stevenage Borough	0:0
20.10.20	Stevenage Borough - Newport County	0:1
14.12.19	Newport County - Stevenage Borough	1:1
01.01.19	Stevenage Borough - Newport County	1:0
13.10.18	Newport County - Stevenage Borough	2:1

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