Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 29

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: Broadhall Way (Stevenage)

Referee: Young A. (Eng)


	Stevenage Borough		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8
	1.39	4.5	8
	1.35	4.4	9
	1.38	4.86	9.18
	1.4	4.2	8.5
	1.39	4.6	8.3	Watch
	1.37	4.4	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.35)	4.49 ↓ (4.5)	8.37 ↓ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
67.9%

Draw
20.9%

Crewe Alexandra
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

20.8%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

19.8%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	21.1%	21.1%

Stevenage Borough - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 17).

Stevenage has the most likely position - 2 (28.5%), project points - 81, currently - 63, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (36%), a good chance of promoted (66%), a small chance of win league (11%).

Crewe has the most likely position - 18 (16.3%), project points - 55, currently - 42, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 10, importance 42, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stevenage is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League Two
11.03.23	Stevenage Borough - Walsall	3:1 ✺
04.03.23	Rochdale - Stevenage Borough	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough	2:3 ✺
25.02.23	Stevenage Borough - Tranmere Rovers	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Stockport County - Stevenage Borough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL
- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
10.03.23	Crewe Alexandra - Salford City	4:3 ✺
04.03.23	Sutton United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
21.02.23	Walsall - Crewe Alexandra	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Harrogate Town - Crewe Alexandra	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.09.22	Crewe Alexandra - Stevenage Borough	1:2
07.03.20	Crewe Alexandra - Stevenage Borough	3:1
21.12.19	Stevenage Borough - Crewe Alexandra	1:5
29.12.18	Crewe Alexandra - Stevenage Borough	1:0
20.10.18	Stevenage Borough - Crewe Alexandra	0:1
10.03.18	Stevenage Borough - Crewe Alexandra	2:2
07.10.17	Crewe Alexandra - Stevenage Borough	1:0

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