Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 35

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)


	Rochdale		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.25	1.91
	4.1	3.2	1.93
	4.3	3.4	1.85
	4.35	3.34	1.98
	4	3.25	1.95
	4.15	3.42	1.91	Watch
	4	3.2	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↓ (4.33)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	1.92 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
22.5%

Draw
28.5%

Stevenage Borough
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

29%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

26.1%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Rochdale - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Stevenage will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (67.8%), has project points - 34, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (89%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Stevenage has the most likely position - 2 (31.18%), has project points - 82, has currently - 60, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a good chance of promoted (69%), has a small chance of win league (14%).

This event has very small quality 8, importance 54, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Rochdale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stevenage is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
25.02.23	Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
21.02.23	Rochdale - Stockport County	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Rochdale - Gillingham	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Leyton Orient - Rochdale	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Rochdale - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLLT
- Stevenage Borough
English League Two
28.02.23	AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough	2:3 ✺
25.02.23	Stevenage Borough - Tranmere Rovers	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Stockport County - Stevenage Borough	2:0 ✺
14.02.23	Newport County - Stevenage Borough	2:2 ✺
11.02.23	Stevenage Borough - Bradford City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
16.08.22	Stevenage Borough - Rochdale	1:0
15.04.22	Stevenage Borough - Rochdale	1:0
23.11.21	Rochdale - Stevenage Borough	2:2

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