Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Edgeley Park (Stockport)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Stockport County		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.25
	2.95	3.25	2.3
	3.1	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.24	2.31	Watch
	3	3.3	2.38
	3.14	3.35	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.18)	3.28 ↓ (3.47)	2.31 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
30.6%

Draw
28.6%

Birmingham City
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

27%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

26.8%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	23.8%	57.1%

Stockport County - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Birmingham will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 16. Connolly C. 15. Pye E. 17. Mingi J. J. 12. Southam-Hales M. 26. Norwood O. 27. Bailey O. 3. Touray I. 7. Diamond J. 14. Collar W. 19. Wootton K. (C)	21. Allsop R. (G) 6. Bielik K. (C) 4. Klarer C. 25. Davies B. 19. Gardner-Hickman T. 24. Iwata T. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 20. Cochrane A. 18. Willumsson W. T. 28. Stansfield J. 9. May A.
Substitutes
34. Addai C. (G) 8. Camps C. 18. Fiorini L. 5. Hughes S. 2. Knoyle K. 23. Rydel R. 99. Stretton J.	17. Dykes L. 26. Harris L. 10. Jutkiewicz L. 2. Laird E. 12. Leonard M. 45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 11. Wright S.
Coaches
Challinor D.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, May A. ⚽, Willumsson W. T. (A),
34', Mingi J. J. ↓, Knoyle K. ↑,
34', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Norwood O. ↓, Camps C. ↑,
65', Willumsson W. T. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
65', May A. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
66', Gardner-Hickman T. ↓, Wright S. ↑,
71', Touray I. ↓, Rydel R. ↑,
71', Diamond J. ↓, Stretton J. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Southam-Hales M. ⚽, Rydel R. (A),
86', Stansfield J. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
86', Bailey O. ↓, Fiorini L. ↑,
86', Cochrane A. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
90+1', Southam-Hales M. 🟨,
90+4', Fiorini L. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Stockport is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Birmingham in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Birmingham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stockport won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English League One
29.12.24	Rotherham United - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Huddersfield Town - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
20.12.24	Stockport County - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Stevenage Borough - Stockport County	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Stockport County - Bradford City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLL
- Birmingham City
English League One
29.12.24	Birmingham City - Blackpool	0:0 ✺
26.12.24	Birmingham City - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
23.12.24	Crawley Town - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Birmingham City - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Exeter City - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
04.12.24	Birmingham City - Stockport County	2:0

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